Home / MLB Projections MLB / Giants @ Cubs SF @ CHC

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

26-38  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sat, Jun 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Wrigley Field
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

CUBSCHC

33-31  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Landen Roupp
STARTING PITCHER

Landen Roupp

#65 | Starting Pitcher
@
Ryan Rolison
STARTING PITCHER

Ryan Rolison

#33 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Landen Roupp None-None 4.00 -- 5.2 5
Ryan Rolison None-None 2.49 -- 1.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
4.00 ERA Ldr 2.49
-- WHIP --
5.2 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
5 Ldr K (Strikeouts) 2
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
55%
📊
CUBS
45%
GIANTS --
CUBS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 75%
Under 0 25%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
GiantsSF (-3.5) 0 CubsCHC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

40.1%

Cubs Cover

59.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHC +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHC)

SF By 1-2 runs

19.6%

SF By 3-4 runs

16.3%

CHC By 1-2 runs

16.3%

CHC By 3-4 runs

10.6%

AI Model Projected Score
4
SAN FRANCISCO
3
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
3
SAN FRANCISCO
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Giants Loss
55% Win Prob
D
Sim Cubs Win
65% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cubs (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
C
Sim Cubs (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u7.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim o7.5 Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 14, 2026 CHC @ SF 1 - 5
Jun 13, 2026 CHC @ SF 6 - 1
Jun 12, 2026 CHC @ SF 5 - 1
Jun 7, 2026 SF @ CHC 2 - 1
Jun 6, 2026 SF @ CHC 2 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco SF
vs
Chicago CHC
162 ▲
Games Played
2
4.13 ▲
Runs / Game
0.50
.245 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.129
.306 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.229
.400 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.145
.706 ▲
OPS
.374
178 ▲
Home Runs
0
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +100.0% more
San Francisco: 178.0 vs Chicago: 0.0
Runs per Game (Season) +87.9% more
San Francisco: 4.1 vs Chicago: 0.5
Errors (L5) +77.0% more
San Francisco: 0.8 vs Chicago: 0.0
Walks (L5) +61.6% more
San Francisco: 6.0 vs Chicago: 2.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 4.0 2
CHC Score 3.0 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.0 / 0.8 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 8.7 / 15.2 8.0 / 5.0
Home Runs 1.3 / 3.3 2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 7.7 / 7.0 11.0 / 8.0
Total Bases 14.7 / 28.5 14.0 / 8.0
Walks 2.3 / 6.0 3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
68%MONEY32%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
95%MONEY5%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
18%MONEY82%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
CHC Advantage
89-75-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
CHC
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHC
SF
CHC
SF
ML
58% 93-68
49% 79-81
51% 82-79
53% 85-75
ATS
61% 97-63-1
62% 100-60
47% 75-85-1
52% 83-77
TTL
52% 81-74-6
55% 82-68-10
46% 72-83-6
46% 68-81-11
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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