SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
33-31 | Road
4
DETROIT
TIGERSDET
26-38 | Home
0
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Gabe Speier
#55 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Ty Madden
#36 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Speier | None-None | 2.30 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Ty Madden | None-None | 2.60 | -- | 2.2 | 3 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.30 Ldr
ERA
2.60
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 2.2
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 3
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
59%
TIGERS
41%
MARINERS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around DET +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.6%
SEA By 3-4 runs
16.3%
DET By 1-2 runs
16.3%
DET By 3-4 runs
10.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Detroit
4
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Seattle
4
SEATTLE
Detroit
5
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mariners
Win
59% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Loss
58% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
C
Sim
Tigers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u9.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim
u9.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 6, 2026
DET @ SEA
11 - 0
Aug 5, 2026
DET @ SEA
2 - 4
Aug 4, 2026
DET @ SEA
8 - 0
Jun 7, 2026
SEA @ DET
4 - 5
Jun 6, 2026
SEA @ DET
4 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Detroit
DET
162
Games Played
162
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
4.46
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.241
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.320
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.400
.693
OPS
▲
.720
182
▲
Home Runs
181
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+41.0% more
Seattle: 0.5
vs
Detroit: 0.1
Strikeouts (L5)
+21.6% more
Seattle: 10.0
vs
Detroit: 7.8
Walks (L5)
+174.8% more
Detroit: 2.8
vs
Seattle: 1.0
Home Runs (L5)
+26.9% more
Detroit: 2.2
vs
Seattle: 1.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
5.0
4
DET Score
4.0
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.5
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
10.8 / 9.2
2.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
2.2 / 1.7
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
7.8 / 10.0
7.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
19.3 / 15.9
5.0 / 15.0
Walks
2.8 / 1.0
1.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
SEA
DET
SEA
ML
54%
86-73
50%
81-81
54%
87-73
52%
85-77
ATS
64%
101-58
60%
98-64
57%
91-69
59%
95-67
TTL
46%
69-81-9
56%
85-67-10
46%
69-81-10
53%
81-71-10
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