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LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

24-39  |  Road

0
FINAL
Fri, Jun 5 • 10:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

40-23  |  Home

1
Probable Pitchers
Sam Bachman
STARTING PITCHER

Sam Bachman

#40 | Relief Pitcher
@
Tanner Scott
STARTING PITCHER

Tanner Scott

#66 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Sam Bachman None-None 2.15 -- 1.0 2
Tanner Scott None-None 2.36 -- 0.2 1
None-None W-L None-None
2.15 Ldr ERA 2.36
-- WHIP --
1.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 0.2
2 Ldr K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
40%
📊
DODGERS
60%
ANGELS --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
14.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Los Angeles)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

30.9%

Dodgers Cover

69.1%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

LAA By 1-2 runs

13.6%

LAA By 3-4 runs

7.8%

LAD By 1-2 runs

19.6%

LAD By 3-4 runs

18.4%

AI Model Projected Score
6
LOS ANGELES
8
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
4
LOS ANGELES
6
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Dodgers Win
60% Win Prob
C
Sim Dodgers Win
63% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Dodgers (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim Dodgers (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o8.0 Loss
Proj Total: 14.0
D
Sim o8.0 Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 7, 2026 LAA @ LAD 13 - 5
Jun 6, 2026 LAA @ LAD 2 - 9
Jun 5, 2026 LAA @ LAD 0 - 1
May 17, 2026 LAD @ LAA 10 - 1
May 16, 2026 LAD @ LAA 15 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Los Angeles LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 4.94
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .257
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .338
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.679
OPS
▲ .762
154
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +32.5% more
Los Angeles: 204.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Runs per Game (Season) +22.3% more
Los Angeles: 4.9 vs Los Angeles: 4.0
OPS (Season) +8.3%
Los Angeles: 76.2% vs Los Angeles: 67.9%
Slugging Pct (Season) +5.5%
Los Angeles: 42.4% vs Los Angeles: 36.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 6.0 0
LAD Score 8.0 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.8 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 9.6 / 11.2 3.0 / 3.0
Home Runs 0.8 / 0.9 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 7.8 / 8.9 14.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 14.6 / 17.1 6.0 / 4.0
Walks 2.2 / 5.6 2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
12%MONEY88%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
7%MONEY93%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
88%MONEY12%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
LAA
LAD
LAA
ML
56% 92-73
59% 96-66
48% 79-87
55% 89-73
ATS
59% 98-67
60% 97-65
43% 72-94
51% 82-80
TTL
48% 77-82-6
53% 83-74-5
44% 70-90-6
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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