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CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

33-29  |  Road

6
FINAL
Fri, Jun 5 • 6:40 PM ET
Citizens Bank Park
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

PHILLIESPHI

33-29  |  Home

8
Probable Pitchers
Trevor Richards
STARTING PITCHER

Trevor Richards

#43 | Relief Pitcher
@
Jhoan Duran
STARTING PITCHER

Jhoan Duran

#59 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Trevor Richards None-None 4.82 -- 1.0 --
Jhoan Duran None-None 1.31 -- 1.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
4.82 ERA Ldr 1.31
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
50%
📊
PHILLIES
50%
WHITE SOX --
PHILLIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 25%
Under 0 75%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Philadelphia)
White SoxCHW (-3.5) 0 PhilliesPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

White Sox Cover

40.1%

Phillies Cover

59.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around PHI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

CHW By 1-2 runs

16.3%

CHW By 3-4 runs

10.6%

PHI By 1-2 runs

19.6%

PHI By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3
CHICAGO
4
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
3
CHICAGO
5
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Phillies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim Phillies Win
65% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Phillies (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
B
Sim Phillies (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u8.5 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Sim u8.5 Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 7, 2026 CHW @ PHI 5 - 9
Jun 6, 2026 CHW @ PHI 6 - 3
Jun 5, 2026 CHW @ PHI 6 - 8
Jul 30, 2025 PHI @ CHW 3 - 9
Jul 29, 2025 PHI @ CHW 6 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago CHW
vs
Philadelphia PHI
1
Games Played
▲ 2
6.00 ▲
Runs / Game
3.50
.324 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.247
.415 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.286
.412
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .438
.826 ▲
OPS
.724
1
Home Runs
▲ 3
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5) +43.1% more
Philadelphia: 9.9 vs Chicago: 6.9
Walks (L5) +18.5% more
Philadelphia: 3.0 vs Chicago: 2.5
Home Runs (L5) +9.9% more
Philadelphia: 1.3 vs Chicago: 1.2
Slugging Pct (Season) +2.6%
Philadelphia: 43.8% vs Chicago: 41.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHW Score 3.0 6
PHI Score 4.0 8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.1 / 0.1 2.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.0 / 9.9 11.0 / 10.0
Home Runs 1.3 / 1.2 2.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts 9.9 / 6.9 6.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 13.0 / 16.6 18.0 / 20.0
Walks 3.0 / 2.5 2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
24%MONEY76%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
12%MONEY88%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
88-80-0 (52.4%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-:
PHI Advantage
89-76-0 (53.9%)
Margin: 0.1 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW Advantage
(57.7%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-:
PHI
(41.2%)
Margin: 0.1 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
97-69-2
O: 58.4% / U: 41.6% Total +/-: +1.0
PHI
78-77-10
O: 50.3% / U: 49.7% Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
CHW
PHI
CHW
ML
59% 97-67
48% 81-87
49% 80-84
56% 94-74
ATS
65% 107-57
59% 99-69
51% 83-81
55% 93-75
TTL
57% 88-67-9
58% 97-69-2
51% 78-76-9
51% 85-81-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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