SAN FRANCISCO
GIANTSSF
25-38 | Road
18
CHICAGO
CUBSCHC
33-30 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Dylan Smith
#66 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Caleb Thielbar
#24 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Smith | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Caleb Thielbar | None-None | 3.77 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00 Ldr
ERA
3.77
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
45%
CUBS
55%
GIANTS
--
CUBS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
47%
Under 0
53%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CHC -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHC)
SF By 1-2 runs
13.6%
SF By 3-4 runs
7.8%
CHC By 1-2 runs
19.6%
CHC By 3-4 runs
18.4%
AI Model Projected Score
San Francisco
2
SAN FRANCISCO
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
San Francisco
4
SAN FRANCISCO
Chicago
6
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cubs
Loss
55% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cubs
Loss
55% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cubs (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Cubs (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u11.0
Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u11.0
Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 14, 2026
CHC @ SF
1 - 5
Jun 13, 2026
CHC @ SF
6 - 1
Jun 12, 2026
CHC @ SF
5 - 1
Jun 7, 2026
SF @ CHC
2 - 1
Jun 6, 2026
SF @ CHC
2 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco
SF
vs
Chicago
CHC
162
▲
Games Played
2
4.13
▲
Runs / Game
0.50
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.129
.306
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.229
.400
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.145
.706
▲
OPS
.374
178
▲
Home Runs
0
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+100.0% more
San Francisco: 178.0
vs
Chicago: 0.0
Errors (L5)
+96.6% more
San Francisco: 1.2
vs
Chicago: 0.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+87.9% more
San Francisco: 4.1
vs
Chicago: 0.5
Walks (L5)
+58.9% more
San Francisco: 6.1
vs
Chicago: 2.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SF Score
2.0
18
CHC Score
4.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.0 / 1.2
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.0 / 13.3
8.0 / 19.0
Home Runs
1.4 / 1.5
1.0 / 7.0
Strikeouts
7.1 / 6.9
9.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
16.0 / 21.2
12.0 / 43.0
Walks
2.5 / 6.1
2.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF
65-97-0
(40.1%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
CHC
Advantage
89-75-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
CHC
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHC
SF
CHC
SF
ML
58%
93-68
49%
79-81
51%
82-79
53%
85-75
ATS
61%
97-63-1
62%
100-60
47%
75-85-1
52%
83-77
TTL
52%
81-74-6
55%
82-68-10
46%
72-83-6
46%
68-81-11
Contextual Game News
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Guardians Outslug White Sox in Game 4 to Force Decisive ALDS Gam…
White Sox Collapse in Game 4 Sets Up Winner-Take-All Game 5
Jose Ramirez Ignites Guardians' Comeback, Forces Game 5 vs. Whit…
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox