Home / MLB Projections MLB / Brewers @ Rockies MIL @ COL

MILWAUKEE

BREWERSMIL

37-23  |  Road

9
FINAL
Fri, Jun 5 • 8:40 PM ET
Coors Field
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

24-39  |  Home

7
Probable Pitchers
Antonio Senzatela
STARTING PITCHER

Antonio Senzatela

#49 | Relief Pitcher
@
Juan Mejia
STARTING PITCHER

Juan Mejia

#47 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Antonio Senzatela None-None 1.98 -- 1.2 4
Juan Mejia None-None 6.67 -- 0.1 1
None-None W-L None-None
1.98 Ldr ERA 6.67
-- WHIP --
1.2 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 0.1
4 Ldr K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
65%
📊
ROCKIES
35%
BREWERS --
ROCKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 35%
Under 0 65%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Colorado)
BrewersMIL (-3.5) 0 RockiesCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Brewers Cover

30.9%

Rockies Cover

69.1%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around COL -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)

MIL By 1-2 runs

13.6%

MIL By 3-4 runs

7.8%

COL By 1-2 runs

19.6%

COL By 3-4 runs

18.4%

AI Model Projected Score
4
MILWAUKEE
6
COLORADO
Simulated Score
4
MILWAUKEE
5
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rockies Loss
35% Win Prob
D
Sim Rockies Loss
62% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rockies (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim Rockies (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u12.0 Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
C
Sim u12.0 Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jul 26, 2026 COL @ MIL 2 - 11
Jul 25, 2026 COL @ MIL 5 - 8
Jul 24, 2026 COL @ MIL 5 - 2
Jun 7, 2026 MIL @ COL 12 - 4
Jun 6, 2026 MIL @ COL 7 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee MIL
vs
Colorado COL
162
Games Played
162
5.14 ▲
Runs / Game
4.64
.258 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.254
.341 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.322
.403
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .417
.743 ▲
OPS
.739
154
Home Runs
▲ 180
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +119.0% more
Colorado: 1.3 vs Milwaukee: 0.1
Home Runs (L5) +25.2% more
Colorado: 1.6 vs Milwaukee: 1.3
Home Runs (Season) +16.9% more
Colorado: 180.0 vs Milwaukee: 154.0
Total Bases (L5) +16.5% more
Colorado: 17.4 vs Milwaukee: 14.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIL Score 4.0 9
COL Score 6.0 7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 1.3 / 0.1 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 9.5 / 8.8 11.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 1.6 / 1.3 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 7.2 / 8.6 11.0 / 8.0
Total Bases 17.4 / 14.9 17.0 / 11.0
Walks 2.7 / 2.5 6.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
87%TICKETS13%
86%MONEY14%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
92%MONEY8%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
95%MONEY5%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL Advantage
106-60-0 (63.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7% Total +/-: +0.8
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
MIL
COL
MIL
ML
60% 97-64
62% 101-61
55% 88-73
52% 84-78
ATS
60% 97-64
58% 94-68
52% 83-78
48% 78-84
TTL
60% 93-62-6
40% 62-92-8
50% 77-78-6
50% 77-77-8
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
yahoo 40 minutes ago
Cardinals Eye Another Dustin May-Style Signing to Bolster Rotati…
si 40 minutes ago
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…
sportingnews 6 hours, 47 minutes ago
Dodgers Embrace 'Dinosaur' Label While Trolling Padres After NLD…
headtopics 18 hours, 58 minutes ago
Padres' Bullpen Boosted for Game 4 as Miller Returns, King Avail…
si 1 day ago