TAMPA BAY
RAYSTB
36-23 | Road
6
MIAMI
MARLINSMIA
29-34 | Home
0
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Cam Booser
#62 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Tyler Zuber
#55 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Booser | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | 3 |
| Tyler Zuber | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00
ERA
0.00
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
3 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
RAYS
35%
MARLINS
65%
RAYS
--
MARLINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
63%
Under 0
37%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
MIAMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Miami)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIA -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIA)
TB By 1-2 runs
10.6%
TB By 3-4 runs
5.4%
MIA By 1-2 runs
18.4%
MIA By 3-4 runs
19.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Tampa Bay
4
TAMPA BAY
Miami
7
MIAMI
Simulated Score
Tampa Bay
3
TAMPA BAY
Miami
5
MIAMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Marlins
Loss
65% Win Prob
C
Sim
Marlins
Loss
65% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Marlins (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
B
Sim
Marlins (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o8.0
Loss
Proj Total: 11.0
C
Sim
u8.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 7, 2026
TB @ MIA
1 - 4
Jun 6, 2026
TB @ MIA
3 - 4
Jun 5, 2026
TB @ MIA
6 - 0
May 17, 2026
MIA @ TB
3 - 6
May 16, 2026
MIA @ TB
10 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Tampa Bay
TB
vs
Miami
MIA
162
Games Played
162
4.54
▲
Runs / Game
4.41
.258
▲
Avg (AVG)
.249
.326
On-Base (OBP)
.326
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.728
▲
OPS
.727
169
▲
Home Runs
168
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+78.0% more
Miami: 1.7
vs
Tampa Bay: 1.0
Errors (L5)
+71.0% more
Miami: 1.0
vs
Tampa Bay: 0.3
Total Bases (L5)
+53.2% more
Miami: 15.4
vs
Tampa Bay: 10.1
Strikeouts (L5)
+52.6% more
Miami: 9.0
vs
Tampa Bay: 5.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TB Score
4.0
6
MIA Score
7.0
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.0 / 0.3
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.5 / 6.0
2.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
1.7 / 1.0
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
9.0 / 5.9
6.0 / 14.0
Total Bases
15.4 / 10.1
2.0 / 19.0
Walks
2.5 / 2.5
5.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TB
Advantage
101-64-0
(61.2%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-:
MIA
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TB
Advantage
(53.3%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-:
MIA
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TB
76-83-6
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: +0.6
MIA
82-75-5
O: 52.2% / U: 47.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIA
TB
MIA
TB
ML
48%
78-84
58%
95-68
55%
88-72
58%
95-68
ATS
56%
91-71
60%
97-66
54%
86-74
55%
90-73
TTL
56%
88-69-5
47%
73-81-9
53%
82-73-5
51%
78-75-10
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