NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
53-29 | Road
105
SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
62-20 | Home
104
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
73%
SPURS
27%
KNICKS
--
SPURS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
NY By 1-7 points
16.9%
NY By 8-14 points
26.2%
SA By 1-7 points
5.8%
SA By 8-14 points
1.4%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
118
NEW YORK
San Antonio
104
SAN ANTONIO
Simulated Score
New York
116
NEW YORK
San Antonio
113
SAN ANTONIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Knicks
Win
73% Win Prob
B
Sim
Knicks
Win
65% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Knicks (-6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
B
Sim
Knicks (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o217.5
Loss
Proj Total: 222.0
C
Sim
u217.5
Win
Proj Total: 229.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 13, 2026
NY @ SA
94 - 90
Jun 10, 2026
SA @ NY
106 - 107
Jun 8, 2026
SA @ NY
115 - 111
Jun 5, 2026
NY @ SA
105 - 104
Jun 3, 2026
NY @ SA
105 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+23.9% more
New York: 9.8
vs
San Antonio: 7.5
Assists (L5)
+16.7% more
New York: 26.3
vs
San Antonio: 21.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.5%
New York: 48.2%
vs
San Antonio: 41.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.2%
New York: 37.1%
vs
San Antonio: 33.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
118.0
105
SA Score
104.0
104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.0 / 37.1
38.0 / 39.0
Assists
21.9 / 26.3
22.0 / 29.0
Blocks
4.7 / 3.5
7.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
41.7 / 48.2
47.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
80.3 / 79.3
70.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
48.2 / 48.1
42.0 / 44.0
Steals
7.5 / 9.8
7.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
13.6 / 12.3
16.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SA
NY
SA
NY
ML
60%
111-73
61%
114-72
58%
61-44
56%
57-45
ATS
58%
107-76-1
67%
124-62
58%
61-44
56%
57-45
TTL
74%
134-47-3
72%
133-53
100%
105-0
100%
102-0
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