ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
30-31 | Road
6
CHICAGO
CUBSCHC
32-30 | Home
7
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Luis Medina
#46 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Ryan Rolison
#33 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Medina | None-None | 2.77 | -- | -- | -- |
| Ryan Rolison | None-None | 2.61 | -- | 1.2 | 3 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.77
ERA
Ldr 2.61
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.2
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 3
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
63%
CUBS
38%
ATHLETICS
--
CUBS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
35%
Under 0
65%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CHC -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHC)
ATH By 1-2 runs
13.6%
ATH By 3-4 runs
7.8%
CHC By 1-2 runs
19.6%
CHC By 3-4 runs
18.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
5
ATHLETICS
Chicago
7
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Athletics
4
ATHLETICS
Chicago
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cubs
Win
38% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cubs
Win
65% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cubs (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Cubs (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o10.0
Win
Proj Total: 12.0
D
Sim
u10.0
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 4, 2026
ATH @ CHC
6 - 7
Jun 3, 2026
ATH @ CHC
5 - 4
Jun 2, 2026
ATH @ CHC
2 - 1
Apr 2, 2025
CHC @ ATH
10 - 2
Apr 1, 2025
CHC @ ATH
7 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Chicago
CHC
162
▲
Games Played
2
4.31
▲
Runs / Game
0.50
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.129
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.229
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.145
.719
▲
OPS
.374
194
▲
Home Runs
0
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+100.0% more
Athletics: 194.0
vs
Chicago: 0.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+88.4% more
Athletics: 4.3
vs
Chicago: 0.5
OPS (Season)
+34.5%
Athletics: 71.9%
vs
Chicago: 37.4%
Errors (L5)
+33.0% more
Athletics: 0.4
vs
Chicago: 0.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
5.0
6
CHC Score
7.0
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.4
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.0 / 8.7
11.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 1.3
2.0 / 4.0
Strikeouts
6.6 / 8.1
8.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
14.0 / 14.1
20.0 / 20.0
Walks
2.2 / 3.2
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
CHC
Advantage
89-75-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
Advantage
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
CHC
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHC
ATH
CHC
ATH
ML
58%
93-68
59%
95-67
51%
82-79
54%
87-74
ATS
61%
97-63-1
52%
84-78
47%
75-85-1
50%
81-80
TTL
52%
81-74-6
54%
84-73-5
46%
72-83-6
42%
66-90-5
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