ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
29-31 | Road
5
CHICAGO
CUBSCHC
32-29 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Hogan Harris
#36 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Ryan Rolison
#33 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hogan Harris | None-None | 2.48 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Ryan Rolison | None-None | 2.84 | -- | 0.1 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.48 Ldr
ERA
2.84
--
WHIP
--
1.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.1
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
55%
CUBS
45%
ATHLETICS
--
CUBS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CHC -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHC)
ATH By 1-2 runs
7.8%
ATH By 3-4 runs
3.5%
CHC By 1-2 runs
16.3%
CHC By 3-4 runs
19.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
3
ATHLETICS
Chicago
7
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Athletics
4
ATHLETICS
Chicago
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cubs
Loss
45% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cubs
Loss
58% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cubs (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -4.0
D
Sim
Cubs (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o8.5
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Sim
o8.5
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 4, 2026
ATH @ CHC
6 - 7
Jun 3, 2026
ATH @ CHC
5 - 4
Jun 2, 2026
ATH @ CHC
2 - 1
Apr 2, 2025
CHC @ ATH
10 - 2
Apr 1, 2025
CHC @ ATH
7 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Chicago
CHC
162
▲
Games Played
2
4.31
▲
Runs / Game
0.50
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.129
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.229
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.145
.719
▲
OPS
.374
194
▲
Home Runs
0
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+100.0% more
Athletics: 194.0
vs
Chicago: 0.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+88.4% more
Athletics: 4.3
vs
Chicago: 0.5
Home Runs (L5)
+53.1% more
Athletics: 1.4
vs
Chicago: 0.7
Errors (L5)
+50.0% more
Athletics: 0.6
vs
Chicago: 0.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
3.0
5
CHC Score
7.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.6
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.5 / 8.0
9.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
0.7 / 1.4
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
6.9 / 7.7
6.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
10.5 / 13.6
21.0 / 15.0
Walks
2.3 / 3.8
2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
CHC
Advantage
89-75-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
Advantage
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
CHC
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHC
ATH
CHC
ATH
ML
58%
93-68
59%
95-67
51%
82-79
54%
87-74
ATS
61%
97-63-1
52%
84-78
47%
75-85-1
50%
81-80
TTL
52%
81-74-6
54%
84-73-5
46%
72-83-6
42%
66-90-5
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