CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
32-29 | Road
8
MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
29-33 | Home
0
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Chris Murphy
#38 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Taylor Rogers
#55 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Murphy | None-None | 6.75 | -- | 2.0 | 3 |
| Taylor Rogers | None-None | 3.97 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
6.75
ERA
Ldr 3.97
--
WHIP
--
2.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
3 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
56%
TWINS
44%
WHITE SOX
--
TWINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
CHW By 1-2 runs
16.3%
CHW By 3-4 runs
10.6%
MIN By 1-2 runs
19.6%
MIN By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
Minnesota
5
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Minnesota
5
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Twins
Loss
44% Win Prob
D
Sim
Twins
Loss
65% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Twins (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
C
Sim
Twins (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u9.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim
u9.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 6, 2026
MIN @ CHW
1 - 10
Sep 5, 2026
MIN @ CHW
6 - 4
Sep 4, 2026
MIN @ CHW
1 - 4
Aug 30, 2026
CHW @ MIN
1 - 5
Aug 29, 2026
CHW @ MIN
3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Minnesota
MIN
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.56
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.403
.826
▲
OPS
.720
1
Home Runs
▲
187
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+18600.0% more
Minnesota: 187.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Errors (L5)
+115.0% more
Minnesota: 1.3
vs
Chicago: 0.2
Strikeouts (L5)
+62.8% more
Minnesota: 10.4
vs
Chicago: 6.4
Home Runs (L5)
+43.5% more
Chicago: 1.3
vs
Minnesota: 0.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
4.0
8
MIN Score
5.0
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.3 / 0.2
3.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.0 / 8.8
5.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
0.7 / 1.3
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
10.4 / 6.4
10.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
12.7 / 14.9
5.0 / 20.0
Walks
3.4 / 3.2
8.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-80-0
(52.4%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
MIN
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(57.7%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
97-69-2
O: 58.4% / U: 41.6%
Total +/-: +1.0
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
CHW
MIN
CHW
ML
52%
84-78
48%
81-87
50%
80-81
56%
94-74
ATS
59%
95-67
59%
99-69
59%
95-66
55%
93-75
TTL
51%
78-75-9
58%
97-69-2
53%
80-72-9
51%
85-81-2
Contextual Game News
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