Home / MLB Projections MLB / Rangers @ Cardinals TEX @ STL

TEXAS

RANGERSTEX

30-31  |  Road

3
FINAL
Wed, Jun 3 • 7:45 PM ET
Busch Stadium
View Odds Details →

ST. LOUIS

CARDINALSSTL

31-28  |  Home

5
Probable Pitchers
Cal Quantrill
STARTING PITCHER

Cal Quantrill

#44 | Relief Pitcher
@
Riley O'Brien
STARTING PITCHER

Riley O'Brien

#61 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Cal Quantrill None-None 2.42 -- 0.2 1
Riley O'Brien None-None 3.95 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
2.42 Ldr ERA 3.95
-- WHIP --
0.2 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 1.0
1 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
71%
📊
CARDINALS
29%
RANGERS --
CARDINALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (St. Louis)
RangersTEX (-3.5) 0 CardinalsSTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rangers Cover

40.1%

Cardinals Cover

59.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around STL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)

TEX By 1-2 runs

16.3%

TEX By 3-4 runs

10.6%

STL By 1-2 runs

19.6%

STL By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
4
TEXAS
5
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
4
TEXAS
6
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cardinals Win
29% Win Prob
D
Sim Cardinals Win
58% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cardinals (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
C
Sim Cardinals (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o8.0 Push
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim o8.0 Push
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 3, 2026 TEX @ STL 3 - 5
Jun 2, 2026 TEX @ STL 7 - 4
Jun 1, 2026 TEX @ STL 2 - 1
Jun 1, 2025 STL @ TEX 1 - 8
May 31, 2025 STL @ TEX 2 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas TEX
vs
St. Louis STL
162
Games Played
162
4.15
Runs / Game
▲ 4.44
.242 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.317 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.313
.396 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.378
.713 ▲
OPS
.691
183 ▲
Home Runs
167
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +24.0% more
St. Louis: 0.8 vs Texas: 0.6
Errors (L5) +15.0% more
St. Louis: 0.6 vs Texas: 0.5
Runs per Game (Season) +7.0% more
St. Louis: 4.4 vs Texas: 4.2
Home Runs (Season) +8.7% more
Texas: 183.0 vs St. Louis: 167.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TEX Score 4.0 3
STL Score 5.0 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.6 / 0.5 1.0 / 1.0
Hits 8.7 / 9.0 11.0 / 6.0
Home Runs 0.8 / 0.6 0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 9.8 / 10.2 8.0 / 8.0
Total Bases 12.3 / 13.2 16.0 / 9.0
Walks 2.3 / 2.1 4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
46%MONEY54%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
11%MONEY89%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
42%MONEY58%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX Advantage
80-82-0 (49.4%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
STL
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
STL Advantage
(53.7%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1% Total +/-: +0.6
STL
74-80-8
O: 48.1% / U: 51.9% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
TEX
STL
TEX
ML
53% 85-74
53% 86-76
52% 84-77
57% 91-70
ATS
56% 89-70
57% 92-70
53% 85-76
61% 98-63
TTL
46% 68-81-10
53% 78-70-14
50% 76-75-10
55% 81-66-14
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Cardinals Eye Another Dustin May-Style Signing to Bolster Rotati…
si 0 minutes ago
Trump Surprises Clemens with Medal of Freedom Announcement at Te…
yahoo 6 hours, 1 minute ago
Diamondbacks Honor Virahonda and Hagaman as Top Minor Leaguers A…
newschannel10 1 day, 23 hours ago
Cardinals Face Critical Contract Calls on Jordan Walker, Alec Bu…
si 3 days ago
Giants Defy Odds: Harbaugh Applauds Resilience After Dramatic Wi…
sny 4 days ago