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ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

28-31  |  Road

2
FINAL
Tue, Jun 2 • 8:05 PM ET
Wrigley Field
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

CUBSCHC

32-28  |  Home

1
Probable Pitchers
Hogan Harris
STARTING PITCHER

Hogan Harris

#36 | Relief Pitcher
@
Pedro Ramirez
STARTING PITCHER

Pedro Ramirez

#75 | Second Base
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Hogan Harris None-None 2.57 -- 0.1 --
Pedro Ramirez None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
2.57 ERA --
-- WHIP --
0.1 IP (Innings Pitched) --
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
50%
📊
CUBS
50%
ATHLETICS --
CUBS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 55%
Under 0 45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Athletics)
AthleticsATH (-3.5) 0 CubsCHC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Athletics Cover

69.1%

Cubs Cover

30.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATH -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)

ATH By 1-2 runs

19.6%

ATH By 3-4 runs

18.4%

CHC By 1-2 runs

13.6%

CHC By 3-4 runs

7.8%

AI Model Projected Score
7
ATHLETICS
5
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
3
ATHLETICS
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Athletics Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim Cubs Loss
67% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Athletics (-1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim Cubs (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o7.5 Loss
Proj Total: 12.0
D
Sim o7.5 Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 4, 2026 ATH @ CHC 6 - 7
Jun 3, 2026 ATH @ CHC 5 - 4
Jun 2, 2026 ATH @ CHC 2 - 1
Apr 2, 2025 CHC @ ATH 10 - 2
Apr 1, 2025 CHC @ ATH 7 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics ATH
vs
Chicago CHC
162 ▲
Games Played
2
4.31 ▲
Runs / Game
0.50
.245 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.129
.317 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.229
.402 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.145
.719 ▲
OPS
.374
194 ▲
Home Runs
0
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +100.0% more
Athletics: 194.0 vs Chicago: 0.0
Runs per Game (Season) +88.4% more
Athletics: 4.3 vs Chicago: 0.5
Errors (L5) +75.0% more
Athletics: 0.9 vs Chicago: 0.1
Home Runs (L5) +39.0% more
Athletics: 1.6 vs Chicago: 1.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ATH Score 7.0 2
CHC Score 5.0 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.1 / 0.9 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 9.2 / 9.0 4.0 / 6.0
Home Runs 1.0 / 1.6 0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 6.4 / 8.5 8.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 13.8 / 15.9 4.0 / 9.0
Walks 3.0 / 4.7 1.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
28%MONEY72%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
14%MONEY86%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
73%MONEY27%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
CHC Advantage
89-75-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH Advantage
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
CHC
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHC
ATH
CHC
ATH
ML
58% 93-68
59% 95-67
51% 82-79
54% 87-74
ATS
61% 97-63-1
52% 84-78
47% 75-85-1
50% 81-80
TTL
52% 81-74-6
54% 84-73-5
46% 72-83-6
42% 66-90-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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