NEW YORK
METSNYM
26-34 | Road
3
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
32-29 | Home
8
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Cionel Perez
#52 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Eduard Bazardo
#83 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cionel Perez | None-None | 5.68 | -- | 2.0 | 3 |
| Eduard Bazardo | None-None | 2.00 | -- | 1.2 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
5.68
ERA
Ldr 2.00
--
WHIP
--
2.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.2
3 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
METS
27%
MARINERS
73%
METS
--
MARINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
40%
Under 0
60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SEA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
NYM By 1-2 runs
13.6%
NYM By 3-4 runs
7.8%
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.6%
SEA By 3-4 runs
18.4%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mariners
Win
73% Win Prob
B
Sim
Mariners
Win
68% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mariners (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Mariners (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o7.5
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Sim
o7.5
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 3, 2026
NYM @ SEA
7 - 1
Jun 2, 2026
NYM @ SEA
3 - 8
Jun 1, 2026
NYM @ SEA
2 - 3
Aug 17, 2025
SEA @ NYM
3 - 7
Aug 16, 2025
SEA @ NYM
1 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
New York
NYM
vs
Seattle
SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.31
▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.239
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.314
.395
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.705
▲
OPS
.693
204
▲
Home Runs
182
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+37.5% more
Seattle: 8.5
vs
New York: 6.2
Total Bases (L5)
+27.1% more
Seattle: 16.6
vs
New York: 13.1
Home Runs (L5)
+16.5% more
Seattle: 2.4
vs
New York: 2.1
On-Base Pct (Season)
+0.4%
Seattle: 31.4%
vs
New York: 31.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYM Score
3.0
3
SEA Score
5.0
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.5
0.0 / 2.0
Hits
8.5 / 6.2
11.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
2.4 / 2.1
3.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
9.5 / 9.1
11.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
16.6 / 13.1
21.0 / 12.0
Walks
1.7 / 3.5
2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYM
74-88-0
(45.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
SEA
Advantage
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYM
Advantage
(46.3%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYM
77-73-12
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
NYM
SEA
NYM
ML
50%
81-81
50%
79-80
52%
85-77
48%
76-83
ATS
60%
98-64
58%
93-66
59%
95-67
49%
78-81
TTL
56%
85-67-10
55%
80-66-13
53%
81-71-10
51%
74-72-13
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