LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
38-22 | Road
6
ARIZONA
DIAMONDBACKSARI
32-27 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Tanner Scott
#66 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Juan Morillo
#62 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | None-None | 2.10 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Juan Morillo | None-None | 2.52 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.10 Ldr
ERA
2.52
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
50%
DIAMONDBACKS
50%
DODGERS
--
DIAMONDBACKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ARIZONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Arizona)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around ARI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARI)
LAD By 1-2 runs
16.3%
LAD By 3-4 runs
10.6%
ARI By 1-2 runs
19.6%
ARI By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
4
LOS ANGELES
Arizona
5
ARIZONA
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Arizona
3
ARIZONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Diamondbacks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dodgers
Win
65% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Diamondbacks (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
C
Sim
Dodgers (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u9.0
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim
u9.0
Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 9, 2026
LAD @ ARI
2 - 4
Aug 8, 2026
LAD @ ARI
2 - 1
Aug 7, 2026
LAD @ ARI
3 - 4
Jul 12, 2026
ARI @ LAD
5 - 3
Jul 11, 2026
ARI @ LAD
9 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAD
vs
Arizona
ARI
162
Games Played
162
4.94
▲
Runs / Game
4.56
.257
▲
Avg (AVG)
.246
.338
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.318
.424
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
.762
▲
OPS
.720
204
▲
Home Runs
166
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+34.4% more
Los Angeles: 8.7
vs
Arizona: 5.7
Total Bases (L5)
+31.8% more
Los Angeles: 15.9
vs
Arizona: 10.8
Strikeouts (L5)
+26.7% more
Los Angeles: 8.5
vs
Arizona: 6.2
Home Runs (L5)
+19.5% more
Los Angeles: 1.5
vs
Arizona: 1.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAD Score
4.0
6
ARI Score
5.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.5
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
5.7 / 8.7
11.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 1.5
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
6.2 / 8.5
10.0 / 4.0
Total Bases
10.8 / 15.9
15.0 / 17.0
Walks
1.8 / 1.7
3.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
ARI
86-76-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
ARI
Advantage
(52.5%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
ARI
71-85-6
O: 45.5% / U: 54.5%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARI
LAD
ARI
LAD
ML
54%
87-74
56%
92-73
54%
86-74
48%
79-87
ATS
57%
91-70
59%
98-67
56%
89-71
43%
72-94
TTL
52%
80-73-8
48%
77-82-6
49%
73-77-9
44%
70-90-6
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