CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
32-28 | Road
4
MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
28-33 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Trevor Richards
#43 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Yoendrys Gomez
#94 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Richards | None-None | 5.09 | -- | 1.2 | 1 |
| Yoendrys Gomez | None-None | 3.90 | -- | 1.1 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
5.09
ERA
Ldr 3.90
--
WHIP
--
1.2 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.1
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
60%
TWINS
40%
WHITE SOX
--
TWINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
67%
Under 0
33%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHW -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)
CHW By 1-2 runs
16.3%
CHW By 3-4 runs
19.6%
MIN By 1-2 runs
7.8%
MIN By 3-4 runs
3.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
7
CHICAGO
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Chicago
5
CHICAGO
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
White Sox
Loss
60% Win Prob
C
Sim
White Sox
Loss
58% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
White Sox (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -4.0
D
Sim
White Sox (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o8.0
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
C
Sim
o8.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 6, 2026
MIN @ CHW
1 - 10
Sep 5, 2026
MIN @ CHW
6 - 4
Sep 4, 2026
MIN @ CHW
1 - 4
Aug 30, 2026
CHW @ MIN
1 - 5
Aug 29, 2026
CHW @ MIN
3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Minnesota
MIN
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.56
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.403
.826
▲
OPS
.720
1
Home Runs
▲
187
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+43.4% more
Chicago: 2.0
vs
Minnesota: 1.1
Total Bases (L5)
+24.4% more
Chicago: 17.9
vs
Minnesota: 13.5
Runs per Game (Season)
+24.0% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Minnesota: 4.6
OPS (Season)
+10.6%
Chicago: 82.6%
vs
Minnesota: 72.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
7.0
4
MIN Score
3.0
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.0 / 0.3
2.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.4 / 9.3
10.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 2.0
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
9.6 / 7.6
12.0 / 4.0
Total Bases
13.5 / 17.9
11.0 / 9.0
Walks
3.6 / 3.3
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-80-0
(52.4%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
MIN
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(57.7%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
97-69-2
O: 58.4% / U: 41.6%
Total +/-: +1.0
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
CHW
MIN
CHW
ML
52%
84-78
48%
81-87
50%
80-81
56%
94-74
ATS
59%
95-67
59%
99-69
59%
95-66
55%
93-75
TTL
51%
78-75-9
58%
97-69-2
53%
80-72-9
51%
85-81-2
Contextual Game News
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