TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
29-31 | Road
7
ST. LOUIS
CARDINALSSTL
31-27 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jakob Junis
#16 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Riley O'Brien
#61 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakob Junis | None-None | 1.69 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Riley O'Brien | None-None | 4.10 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
1.69 Ldr
ERA
4.10
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
64%
CARDINALS
36%
RANGERS
--
CARDINALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around STL +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)
TEX By 1-2 runs
19.6%
TEX By 3-4 runs
16.3%
STL By 1-2 runs
16.3%
STL By 3-4 runs
10.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas
4
TEXAS
St. Louis
3
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
Texas
4
TEXAS
St. Louis
5
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rangers
Win
64% Win Prob
C
Sim
Cardinals
Loss
62% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cardinals (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
C
Sim
Cardinals (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u7.0
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
o7.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 3, 2026
TEX @ STL
3 - 5
Jun 2, 2026
TEX @ STL
7 - 4
Jun 1, 2026
TEX @ STL
2 - 1
Jun 1, 2025
STL @ TEX
1 - 8
May 31, 2025
STL @ TEX
2 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas
TEX
vs
St. Louis
STL
162
Games Played
162
4.15
Runs / Game
▲
4.44
.242
▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.313
.396
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.378
.713
▲
OPS
.691
183
▲
Home Runs
167
Key Model Drivers
Total Bases (L5)
+31.3% more
Texas: 13.8
vs
St. Louis: 9.5
Strikeouts (L5)
+29.9% more
Texas: 10.3
vs
St. Louis: 7.3
Walks (L5)
+28.8% more
Texas: 2.7
vs
St. Louis: 1.9
Hits (L5)
+28.2% more
Texas: 9.0
vs
St. Louis: 6.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEX Score
4.0
7
STL Score
3.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.0 / 0.7
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.5 / 9.0
13.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
0.7 / 0.9
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.3 / 10.3
15.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
9.5 / 13.8
18.0 / 12.0
Walks
1.9 / 2.7
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
STL
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
STL
Advantage
(53.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
STL
74-80-8
O: 48.1% / U: 51.9%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
TEX
STL
TEX
ML
53%
85-74
53%
86-76
52%
84-77
57%
91-70
ATS
56%
89-70
57%
92-70
53%
85-76
61%
98-63
TTL
46%
68-81-10
53%
78-70-14
50%
76-75-10
55%
81-66-14
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