Home / MLB Projections MLB / Giants @ Brewers SF @ MIL

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

23-37  |  Road

3
FINAL
Tue, Jun 2 • 7:40 PM ET
American Family Field
View Odds Details →

MILWAUKEE

BREWERSMIL

36-21  |  Home

8
Probable Pitchers
Sam Hentges
STARTING PITCHER

Sam Hentges

#31 | Relief Pitcher
@
Trevor Megill
STARTING PITCHER

Trevor Megill

#29 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Sam Hentges None-None 2.25 -- 0.1 --
Trevor Megill None-None 4.09 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
2.25 Ldr ERA 4.09
-- WHIP --
0.1 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
27%
📊
BREWERS
73%
GIANTS --
BREWERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 65%
Under 0 35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Milwaukee)
GiantsSF (-3.5) 0 BrewersMIL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

40.1%

Brewers Cover

59.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)

SF By 1-2 runs

16.3%

SF By 3-4 runs

10.6%

MIL By 1-2 runs

19.6%

MIL By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
4
SAN FRANCISCO
5
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
4
SAN FRANCISCO
5
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Brewers Win
73% Win Prob
B
Sim Brewers Win
62% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Brewers (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim Brewers (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o7.0 Win
Proj Total: 9.0
C
Sim o7.0 Win
Proj Total: 9.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jul 29, 2026 MIL @ SF 3 - 16
Jul 28, 2026 MIL @ SF 8 - 2
Jul 27, 2026 MIL @ SF 0 - 3
Jun 4, 2026 SF @ MIL 12 - 9
Jun 3, 2026 SF @ MIL 1 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco SF
vs
Milwaukee MIL
162
Games Played
162
4.13
Runs / Game
▲ 5.14
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲ .258
.306
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .341
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .403
.706
OPS
▲ .743
178 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5) +24.7% more
Milwaukee: 9.6 vs San Francisco: 7.7
Runs per Game (Season) +24.5% more
Milwaukee: 5.1 vs San Francisco: 4.1
OPS (Season) +3.7%
Milwaukee: 74.3% vs San Francisco: 70.6%
On-Base Pct (Season) +3.5%
Milwaukee: 34.1% vs San Francisco: 30.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 4.0 3
MIL Score 5.0 8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.3 / 1.4 0.0 / 3.0
Hits 9.6 / 11.3 11.0 / 10.0
Home Runs 0.6 / 1.4 1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 9.6 / 7.7 14.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 14.6 / 20.5 16.0 / 16.0
Walks 3.0 / 6.4 2.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
17%MONEY83%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
9%MONEY91%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
28%MONEY72%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
MIL Advantage
106-60-0 (63.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
MIL Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
SF
MIL
SF
ML
62% 101-61
49% 79-81
52% 84-78
53% 85-75
ATS
58% 94-68
62% 100-60
48% 78-84
52% 83-77
TTL
40% 62-92-8
55% 82-68-10
50% 77-77-8
46% 68-81-11
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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