CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
32-27 | Road
6
MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
27-33 | Home
9
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Trevor Richards
#43 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Travis Adams
#45 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Richards | None-None | 5.63 | -- | 2.0 | -- |
| Travis Adams | None-None | 8.18 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
5.63 Ldr
ERA
8.18
--
WHIP
--
2.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
68%
TWINS
32%
WHITE SOX
--
TWINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
67%
Under 0
33%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHW -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)
CHW By 1-2 runs
10.6%
CHW By 3-4 runs
16.3%
MIN By 1-2 runs
3.5%
MIN By 3-4 runs
1.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
9
CHICAGO
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
White Sox
Loss
68% Win Prob
C
Sim
Twins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
White Sox (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -6.0
B
Sim
Twins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o8.0
Win
Proj Total: 12.0
C
Sim
u8.0
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 6, 2026
MIN @ CHW
1 - 10
Sep 5, 2026
MIN @ CHW
6 - 4
Sep 4, 2026
MIN @ CHW
1 - 4
Aug 30, 2026
CHW @ MIN
1 - 5
Aug 29, 2026
CHW @ MIN
3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Minnesota
MIN
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.56
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.403
.826
▲
OPS
.720
1
Home Runs
▲
187
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+24.0% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Minnesota: 4.6
Home Runs (L5)
+19.4% more
Chicago: 1.4
vs
Minnesota: 1.2
OPS (Season)
+10.6%
Chicago: 82.6%
vs
Minnesota: 72.0%
Total Bases (L5)
+10.3% more
Chicago: 14.8
vs
Minnesota: 13.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
9.0
6
MIN Score
3.0
9
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.0 / 0.4
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.7 / 8.4
10.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 1.4
1.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
8.9 / 8.4
11.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
13.3 / 14.8
14.0 / 24.0
Walks
4.8 / 3.0
1.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
MIN
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
CHW
MIN
CHW
ML
52%
84-78
49%
81-86
50%
80-81
56%
94-73
ATS
59%
95-67
59%
99-68
59%
95-66
56%
93-74
TTL
51%
78-75-9
58%
96-69-2
53%
80-72-9
51%
84-81-2
Contextual Game News
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