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COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

22-38  |  Road

9
FINAL
Mon, Jun 1 • 9:38 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

23-37  |  Home

8
Probable Pitchers
Kyle Freeland
STARTING PITCHER

Kyle Freeland

#21 | Starting Pitcher
@
Jose Fermin
STARTING PITCHER

Jose Fermin

#65 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Kyle Freeland None-None 8.06 -- 5.2 4
Jose Fermin None-None 5.40 -- 0.2 2
None-None W-L None-None
8.06 ERA Ldr 5.40
-- WHIP --
5.2 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 0.2
4 Ldr K (Strikeouts) 2
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
35%
📊
ANGELS
65%
ROCKIES --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 56%
Under 0 44%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Los Angeles)
RockiesCOL (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rockies Cover

10.6%

Angels Cover

89.4%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAA -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

COL By 1-2 runs

5.4%

COL By 3-4 runs

2.2%

LAA By 1-2 runs

13.6%

LAA By 3-4 runs

18.4%

AI Model Projected Score
3
COLORADO
8
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
8
COLORADO
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Angels Loss
65% Win Prob
C
Sim Rockies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Angels (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -5.0
D
Sim Rockies (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o8.0 Win
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Sim o8.0 Win
Proj Total: 13.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 3, 2026 COL @ LAA 4 - 11
Jun 2, 2026 COL @ LAA 8 - 2
Jun 1, 2026 COL @ LAA 9 - 8
Sep 21, 2025 LAA @ COL 1 - 3
Sep 20, 2025 LAA @ COL 3 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado COL
vs
Los Angeles LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.64 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.254 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.322 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.417 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.739 ▲
OPS
.679
180 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +189.9% more
Los Angeles: 6.9 vs Colorado: 2.4
Home Runs (L5) +27.0% more
Los Angeles: 1.5 vs Colorado: 1.2
Strikeouts (L5) +23.7% more
Los Angeles: 8.3 vs Colorado: 6.7
Errors (L5) +37.4% more
Colorado: 1.2 vs Los Angeles: 0.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COL Score 3.0 9
LAA Score 8.0 8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.7 / 1.2 1.0 / 4.0
Hits 9.4 / 10.2 10.0 / 10.0
Home Runs 1.5 / 1.2 1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 8.3 / 6.7 11.0 / 5.0
Total Bases 16.1 / 15.5 16.0 / 19.0
Walks 6.9 / 2.4 10.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
13%TICKETS87%
18%MONEY82%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
7%MONEY93%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
LAA Advantage
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
COL
LAA
COL
ML
59% 96-66
60% 97-64
55% 89-73
55% 88-73
ATS
60% 97-65
60% 97-64
51% 82-80
52% 83-78
TTL
53% 83-74-5
60% 93-62-6
52% 82-75-5
50% 77-78-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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