NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
53-29 | Road
105
SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
62-20 | Home
95
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
70%
SPURS
30%
KNICKS
--
SPURS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
231.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
70%
Under 0
30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
NY By 1-7 points
27.2%
NY By 8-14 points
23.0%
SA By 1-7 points
18.6%
SA By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
118
NEW YORK
San Antonio
113
SAN ANTONIO
Simulated Score
New York
108
NEW YORK
San Antonio
112
SAN ANTONIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Knicks
Win
70% Win Prob
B
Sim
Spurs
Loss
65% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knicks (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
B
Sim
Spurs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
👑 Top Selection
AI
o217.5
Loss
Proj Total: 231.0
B
Sim
u217.5
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 13, 2026
NY @ SA
94 - 90
Jun 10, 2026
SA @ NY
106 - 107
Jun 8, 2026
SA @ NY
115 - 111
Jun 5, 2026
NY @ SA
105 - 104
Jun 3, 2026
NY @ SA
105 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+15.6% more
New York: 29.4
vs
San Antonio: 24.8
Steals (L5)
+14.2% more
New York: 10.7
vs
San Antonio: 9.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.3%
New York: 51.8%
vs
San Antonio: 44.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.7%
New York: 40.2%
vs
San Antonio: 36.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
118.0
105
SA Score
113.0
95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.5 / 40.2
26.0 / 31.0
Assists
24.8 / 29.4
16.0 / 20.0
Blocks
5.1 / 3.3
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.5 / 51.8
36.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
80.5 / 74.5
80.0 / 89.0
Rebounding
45.3 / 47.7
54.0 / 49.0
Steals
9.2 / 10.7
4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.8 / 13.9
13.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SA
NY
SA
NY
ML
60%
111-73
61%
114-72
58%
61-44
56%
57-45
ATS
58%
107-76-1
67%
124-62
58%
61-44
56%
57-45
TTL
74%
134-47-3
72%
133-53
100%
105-0
100%
102-0
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