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LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

23-36  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sun, May 31 • 1:40 PM ET
Tropicana Field
View Odds Details →

TAMPA BAY

RAYSTB

35-20  |  Home

5
Probable Pitchers
Mitch Farris
STARTING PITCHER

Mitch Farris

#70 | Relief Pitcher
@
Bryan Baker
STARTING PITCHER

Bryan Baker

#47 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Mitch Farris None-None 3.04 -- 4.0 4
Bryan Baker None-None 2.22 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
3.04 ERA Ldr 2.22
-- WHIP --
4.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
4 Ldr K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
54%
📊
RAYS
46%
ANGELS --
RAYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 56%
Under 0 44%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
TAMPA BAY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Tampa Bay)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 RaysTB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

30.9%

Rays Cover

69.1%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TB -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TB)

LAA By 1-2 runs

13.6%

LAA By 3-4 runs

7.8%

TB By 1-2 runs

19.6%

TB By 3-4 runs

18.4%

AI Model Projected Score
4
LOS ANGELES
6
TAMPA BAY
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
5
TAMPA BAY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rays Win
46% Win Prob
D
Sim Rays Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rays (-1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim Rays (-1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o8.0 Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Sim u8.0 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 14, 2026 TB @ LAA 8 - 3
Jun 13, 2026 TB @ LAA 0 - 8
Jun 12, 2026 TB @ LAA 3 - 4
May 31, 2026 LAA @ TB 2 - 5
May 30, 2026 LAA @ TB 14 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Tampa Bay TB
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 4.54
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .258
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .326
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .402
.679
OPS
▲ .728
154
Home Runs
▲ 169
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +22.0% more
Tampa Bay: 0.8 vs Los Angeles: 0.6
Runs per Game (Season) +12.4% more
Tampa Bay: 4.5 vs Los Angeles: 4.0
Home Runs (Season) +9.7% more
Tampa Bay: 169.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
OPS (Season) +4.9%
Tampa Bay: 72.8% vs Los Angeles: 67.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 4.0 2
TB Score 6.0 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.8 / 0.6 1.0 / 1.0
Hits 8.5 / 9.6 7.0 / 9.0
Home Runs 1.2 / 1.7 1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 7.2 / 9.4 6.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 14.3 / 17.1 10.0 / 14.0
Walks 4.1 / 5.8 0.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
13%TICKETS87%
12%MONEY88%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
18%TICKETS82%
9%MONEY91%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
61%MONEY39%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
TB Advantage
101-64-0 (61.2%)
Margin: 0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
TB Advantage
(53.3%)
Margin: 0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
TB
76-83-6
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TB
LAA
TB
LAA
ML
58% 95-68
59% 96-66
58% 95-68
55% 89-73
ATS
60% 97-66
60% 97-65
55% 90-73
51% 82-80
TTL
47% 73-81-9
53% 83-74-5
51% 78-75-10
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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