Home / MLB Projections MLB / Yankees @ Athletics NYY @ ATH

NEW YORK

YANKEESNYY

35-23  |  Road

13
FINAL
Sun, May 31 • 4:05 PM ET
Sutter Health Park
View Odds Details →

ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

28-30  |  Home

8
Probable Pitchers
David Bednar
STARTING PITCHER

David Bednar

#53 | Relief Pitcher
@
Jose Suarez
STARTING PITCHER

Jose Suarez

#54 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
David Bednar None-None 4.50 -- 1.0 1
Jose Suarez None-None 5.46 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
4.50 Ldr ERA 5.46
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
1 K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
YANKEES
58%
📊
ATHLETICS
42%
YANKEES --
ATHLETICS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Athletics)
YankeesNYY (-3.5) 0 AthleticsATH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Yankees Cover

30.9%

Athletics Cover

69.1%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around ATH -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)

NYY By 1-2 runs

13.6%

NYY By 3-4 runs

7.8%

ATH By 1-2 runs

19.6%

ATH By 3-4 runs

18.4%

AI Model Projected Score
4
NEW YORK
6
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
3
NEW YORK
5
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Athletics Loss
42% Win Prob
D
Sim Athletics Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Athletics (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim Athletics (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u10.0 Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Sim u10.0 Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 31, 2026 NYY @ ATH 13 - 8
May 30, 2026 NYY @ ATH 4 - 6
May 29, 2026 NYY @ ATH 8 - 2
Apr 9, 2026 ATH @ NYY 1 - 0
Apr 8, 2026 ATH @ NYY 3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
New York NYY
vs
Athletics ATH
1
Games Played
▲ 162
9.00 ▲
Runs / Game
4.31
.375 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.447 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.594 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
1.041 ▲
OPS
.719
2
Home Runs
▲ 194
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +9600.0% more
Athletics: 194.0 vs New York: 2.0
Errors (L5) +127.0% more
Athletics: 1.3 vs New York: 0.0
Walks (L5) +63.5% more
Athletics: 4.6 vs New York: 2.8
Runs per Game (Season) +52.1% more
New York: 9.0 vs Athletics: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYY Score 4.0 13
ATH Score 6.0 8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 1.3 / 0.0 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 7.5 / 9.8 12.0 / 11.0
Home Runs 1.5 / 1.6 2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 7.8 / 8.0 10.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 12.9 / 16.3 22.0 / 15.0
Walks 4.6 / 2.8 5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
91%TICKETS9%
90%MONEY10%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
97%MONEY3%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
69%MONEY31%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYY Advantage
95-71-0 (57.2%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYY Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +0.2
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
NYY
ATH
NYY
ML
59% 95-67
47% 76-85
54% 87-74
52% 85-77
ATS
52% 84-78
59% 95-66
50% 81-80
53% 86-76
TTL
54% 84-73-5
53% 81-73-7
42% 66-90-5
53% 82-72-7
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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