Home / MLB Projections MLB / Giants @ Rockies SF @ COL

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

22-36  |  Road

19
FINAL
Sun, May 31 • 3:10 PM ET
Coors Field
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

22-37  |  Home

6
Probable Pitchers
JT Brubaker
STARTING PITCHER

JT Brubaker

#34 | Relief Pitcher
@
Juan Mejia
STARTING PITCHER

Juan Mejia

#47 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
JT Brubaker None-None 2.70 -- 1.2 1
Juan Mejia None-None 6.00 -- 0.2 1
None-None W-L None-None
2.70 Ldr ERA 6.00
-- WHIP --
1.2 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 0.2
1 K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
38%
📊
ROCKIES
63%
GIANTS --
ROCKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (San Francisco)
GiantsSF (-3.5) 0 RockiesCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

77.3%

Rockies Cover

22.7%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SF -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

SF By 1-2 runs

18.4%

SF By 3-4 runs

19.6%

COL By 1-2 runs

10.6%

COL By 3-4 runs

5.4%

AI Model Projected Score
7
SAN FRANCISCO
4
COLORADO
Simulated Score
3
SAN FRANCISCO
5
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Giants Win
38% Win Prob
D
Sim Rockies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Giants (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Sim Rockies (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u11.0 Loss
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Sim u11.0 Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 16, 2026 COL @ SF 13 - 7
Aug 15, 2026 COL @ SF 1 - 7
Aug 14, 2026 COL @ SF 5 - 2
Jul 12, 2026 COL @ SF 1 - 3
Jul 11, 2026 COL @ SF 2 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco SF
vs
Colorado COL
162
Games Played
162
4.13
Runs / Game
▲ 4.64
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲ .254
.306
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .322
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .417
.706
OPS
▲ .739
178
Home Runs
▲ 180
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +61.0% more
San Francisco: 0.8 vs Colorado: 0.2
Walks (L5) +57.9% more
San Francisco: 3.7 vs Colorado: 1.6
Strikeouts (L5) +28.2% more
San Francisco: 7.7 vs Colorado: 5.6
Home Runs (L5) +87.0% more
Colorado: 1.7 vs San Francisco: 0.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 7.0 19
COL Score 4.0 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.2 / 0.8 3.0 / 3.0
Hits 10.3 / 9.1 10.0 / 25.0
Home Runs 1.7 / 0.9 0.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts 5.6 / 7.7 9.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 16.7 / 16.2 13.0 / 45.0
Walks 1.6 / 3.7 4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
49%MONEY51%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
58%MONEY42%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
80%MONEY20%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF Advantage
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
SF
COL
SF
ML
60% 97-64
49% 79-81
55% 88-73
53% 85-75
ATS
60% 97-64
62% 100-60
52% 83-78
52% 83-77
TTL
60% 93-62-6
55% 82-68-10
50% 77-78-6
46% 68-81-11
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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