Home / MLB Projections MLB / Giants @ Rockies SF @ COL

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

22-35  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, May 30 • 9:10 PM ET
Coors Field
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

21-37  |  Home

8
Probable Pitchers
JT Brubaker
STARTING PITCHER

JT Brubaker

#34 | Relief Pitcher
@
Brennan Bernardino
STARTING PITCHER

Brennan Bernardino

#83 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
JT Brubaker None-None 2.86 -- 1.0 2
Brennan Bernardino None-None 3.86 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
2.86 Ldr ERA 3.86
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
2 Ldr K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
45%
📊
ROCKIES
55%
GIANTS --
ROCKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (San Francisco)
GiantsSF (-3.5) 0 RockiesCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

77.3%

Rockies Cover

22.7%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SF -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

SF By 1-2 runs

18.4%

SF By 3-4 runs

19.6%

COL By 1-2 runs

10.6%

COL By 3-4 runs

5.4%

AI Model Projected Score
7
SAN FRANCISCO
4
COLORADO
Simulated Score
3
SAN FRANCISCO
5
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Giants Loss
45% Win Prob
D
Sim Rockies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Giants (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Sim Rockies (-1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u11.0 Push
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Sim u11.0 Push
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 16, 2026 COL @ SF 13 - 7
Aug 15, 2026 COL @ SF 1 - 7
Aug 14, 2026 COL @ SF 5 - 2
Jul 12, 2026 COL @ SF 1 - 3
Jul 11, 2026 COL @ SF 2 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco SF
vs
Colorado COL
162
Games Played
162
4.13
Runs / Game
▲ 4.64
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲ .254
.306
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .322
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .417
.706
OPS
▲ .739
178
Home Runs
▲ 180
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +73.6% more
San Francisco: 1.3 vs Colorado: 0.3
Walks (L5) +34.7% more
San Francisco: 3.6 vs Colorado: 2.4
Strikeouts (L5) +28.1% more
San Francisco: 8.1 vs Colorado: 5.8
Hits (L5) +8.7% more
San Francisco: 9.2 vs Colorado: 8.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 7.0 3
COL Score 4.0 8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.3 / 1.3 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.4 / 9.2 14.0 / 9.0
Home Runs 1.6 / 0.8 2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 5.8 / 8.1 5.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 14.6 / 15.3 21.0 / 18.0
Walks 2.4 / 3.6 0.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
48%MONEY52%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
69%MONEY31%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
87%MONEY13%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF Advantage
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
SF
COL
SF
ML
60% 97-64
49% 79-81
55% 88-73
53% 85-75
ATS
60% 97-64
62% 100-60
52% 83-78
52% 83-77
TTL
60% 93-62-6
55% 82-68-10
50% 77-78-6
46% 68-81-11
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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