DETROIT
TIGERSDET
22-36 | Road
1
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
30-27 | Home
7
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Framber Valdez
#59 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Trevor Richards
#43 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Framber Valdez | None-None | 4.39 | -- | 6.2 | 4 |
| Trevor Richards | None-None | 6.43 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.39 Ldr
ERA
6.43
--
WHIP
--
6.2 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
4 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
27%
WHITE SOX
73%
TIGERS
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around DET -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1-2 runs
19.6%
DET By 3-4 runs
18.4%
CHW By 1-2 runs
13.6%
CHW By 3-4 runs
7.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
5
DETROIT
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Chicago
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Tigers
Loss
27% Win Prob
D
Sim
White Sox
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Tigers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
White Sox (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o7.5
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Sim
o7.5
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 20, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 8
Sep 19, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 3
Sep 18, 2026
DET @ CHW
11 - 8
Sep 17, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 3
Aug 16, 2026
CHW @ DET
7 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit
DET
vs
Chicago
CHW
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.46
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.241
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.320
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.412
.720
OPS
▲
.826
181
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+99.4% more
Detroit: 181.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Hits (L5)
+76.8% more
Chicago: 9.9
vs
Detroit: 5.6
Total Bases (L5)
+58.4% more
Chicago: 15.3
vs
Detroit: 9.6
Runs per Game (Season)
+34.5% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Detroit: 4.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
5.0
1
CHW Score
3.0
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.4
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.9 / 5.6
9.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
1.0 / 0.9
3.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.3 / 7.6
9.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
15.3 / 9.6
21.0 / 10.0
Walks
2.5 / 2.4
1.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
DET
CHW
DET
ML
49%
81-86
54%
86-73
56%
94-73
54%
87-73
ATS
59%
99-68
64%
101-58
56%
93-74
57%
91-69
TTL
58%
96-69-2
46%
69-81-9
51%
84-81-2
46%
69-81-10
Contextual Game News
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…
MLB Upholds Ejection of Yankees Fan Who Interfered with Anthony …
LSU's Defense Dominates Early, But Real Test Awaits
White Sox Eye ALDS Sweep Over Guardians in Game 3 Showdown