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LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

22-36  |  Road

14
FINAL
Sat, May 30 • 4:10 PM ET
Tropicana Field
View Odds Details →

TAMPA BAY

RAYSTB

35-19  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Sam Bachman
STARTING PITCHER

Sam Bachman

#40 | Relief Pitcher
@
Ian Seymour
STARTING PITCHER

Ian Seymour

#61 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Sam Bachman None-None 2.22 -- 1.1 1
Ian Seymour None-None 4.66 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
2.22 Ldr ERA 4.66
-- WHIP --
1.1 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
1 K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
41%
📊
RAYS
59%
ANGELS --
RAYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 67%
Under 0 33%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Los Angeles)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 RaysTB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

69.1%

Rays Cover

30.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

LAA By 1-2 runs

19.6%

LAA By 3-4 runs

18.4%

TB By 1-2 runs

13.6%

TB By 3-4 runs

7.8%

AI Model Projected Score
4
LOS ANGELES
2
TAMPA BAY
Simulated Score
4
LOS ANGELES
5
TAMPA BAY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Angels Win
41% Win Prob
D
Sim Rays Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Angels (-1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim Rays (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u7.0 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim o7.0 Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 14, 2026 TB @ LAA 8 - 3
Jun 13, 2026 TB @ LAA 0 - 8
Jun 12, 2026 TB @ LAA 3 - 4
May 31, 2026 LAA @ TB 2 - 5
May 30, 2026 LAA @ TB 14 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Tampa Bay TB
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 4.54
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .258
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .326
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .402
.679
OPS
▲ .728
154
Home Runs
▲ 169
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +34.4% more
Los Angeles: 4.8 vs Tampa Bay: 3.1
Strikeouts (L5) +15.3% more
Los Angeles: 8.7 vs Tampa Bay: 7.3
Home Runs (L5) +76.0% more
Tampa Bay: 1.3 vs Los Angeles: 0.5
Errors (L5) +33.0% more
Tampa Bay: 1.2 vs Los Angeles: 0.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 4.0 14
TB Score 2.0 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 1.2 / 0.9 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 9.7 / 8.9 6.0 / 11.0
Home Runs 1.3 / 0.5 1.0 / 4.0
Strikeouts 7.3 / 8.7 7.0 / 11.0
Total Bases 15.5 / 13.1 12.0 / 25.0
Walks 3.1 / 4.8 6.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
6%MONEY94%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
10%MONEY90%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
82%MONEY18%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
TB Advantage
101-64-0 (61.2%)
Margin: 0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
TB Advantage
(53.3%)
Margin: 0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
TB
76-83-6
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TB
LAA
TB
LAA
ML
58% 95-68
59% 96-66
58% 95-68
55% 89-73
ATS
60% 97-66
60% 97-65
55% 90-73
51% 82-80
TTL
47% 73-81-9
53% 83-74-5
51% 78-75-10
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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