ARIZONA
DIAMONDBACKSARI
31-25 | Road
1
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
29-29 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Taylor Clarke
#45 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Bryan Woo
#22 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Clarke | None-None | 1.88 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Bryan Woo | None-None | 3.44 | -- | 7.0 | 9 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
1.88 Ldr
ERA
3.44
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 7.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 9
AI Model Win Probability
DIAMONDBACKS
50%
MARINERS
50%
DIAMONDBACKS
--
MARINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
63%
Under 0
37%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SEA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
ARI By 1-2 runs
16.3%
ARI By 3-4 runs
10.6%
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.6%
SEA By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Arizona
4
ARIZONA
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Arizona
4
ARIZONA
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mariners
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mariners
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mariners (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
B
Sim
Mariners (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o7.0
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
C
Sim
o7.0
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 31, 2026
ARI @ SEA
2 - 3
May 30, 2026
ARI @ SEA
1 - 5
May 29, 2026
ARI @ SEA
6 - 7
Jun 11, 2025
SEA @ ARI
2 - 5
Jun 10, 2025
SEA @ ARI
3 - 10
Season Statistics Comparison
Arizona
ARI
vs
Seattle
SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.56
▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.246
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.318
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.720
▲
OPS
.693
166
Home Runs
▲
182
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+152.0% more
Seattle: 2.3
vs
Arizona: 0.8
Walks (L5)
+53.2% more
Seattle: 3.1
vs
Arizona: 2.0
Errors (L5)
+39.0% more
Seattle: 0.4
vs
Arizona: 0.0
Total Bases (L5)
+35.8% more
Seattle: 20.6
vs
Arizona: 15.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ARI Score
4.0
1
SEA Score
5.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.0
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
11.5 / 10.0
9.0 / 3.0
Home Runs
2.3 / 0.8
4.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.3 / 7.1
9.0 / 3.0
Total Bases
20.6 / 15.2
23.0 / 3.0
Walks
3.1 / 2.0
1.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARI
Advantage
86-76-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARI
Advantage
(52.5%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ARI
71-85-6
O: 45.5% / U: 54.5%
Total +/-: +0.3
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
ARI
SEA
ARI
ML
50%
81-81
54%
87-74
52%
85-77
54%
86-74
ATS
60%
98-64
57%
91-70
59%
95-67
56%
89-71
TTL
56%
85-67-10
52%
80-73-8
53%
81-71-10
49%
73-77-9
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