Home / MLB Projections MLB / Giants @ Rockies SF @ COL

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

22-34  |  Road

6
FINAL
Fri, May 29 • 8:40 PM ET
Coors Field
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

20-37  |  Home

8
Probable Pitchers
👤
STARTING PITCHER

Keaton Winn

#67 | Relief Pitcher
@
Juan Mejia
STARTING PITCHER

Juan Mejia

#47 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Keaton Winn None-None 2.45 -- 1.1 --
Juan Mejia None-None 5.13 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
2.45 Ldr ERA 5.13
-- WHIP --
1.1 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
55%
📊
ROCKIES
45%
GIANTS --
ROCKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 40%
Under 0 60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Colorado)
GiantsSF (-3.5) 0 RockiesCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

40.1%

Rockies Cover

59.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around COL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)

SF By 1-2 runs

16.3%

SF By 3-4 runs

10.6%

COL By 1-2 runs

19.6%

COL By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
4
SAN FRANCISCO
5
COLORADO
Simulated Score
4
SAN FRANCISCO
6
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rockies Win
45% Win Prob
D
Sim Rockies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rockies (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
C
Sim Rockies (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u10.5 Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
C
Sim u10.5 Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 16, 2026 COL @ SF 13 - 7
Aug 15, 2026 COL @ SF 1 - 7
Aug 14, 2026 COL @ SF 5 - 2
Jul 12, 2026 COL @ SF 1 - 3
Jul 11, 2026 COL @ SF 2 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco SF
vs
Colorado COL
162
Games Played
162
4.13
Runs / Game
▲ 4.64
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲ .254
.306
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .322
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .417
.706
OPS
▲ .739
178
Home Runs
▲ 180
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season) +12.3% more
Colorado: 4.6 vs San Francisco: 4.1
OPS (Season) +3.3%
Colorado: 73.9% vs San Francisco: 70.6%
Slugging Pct (Season) +1.7%
Colorado: 41.7% vs San Francisco: 40.0%
On-Base Pct (Season) +1.6%
Colorado: 32.2% vs San Francisco: 30.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 4.0 6
COL Score 5.0 8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 0.9 0.0 / 2.0
Hits 6.1 / 7.8 13.0 / 12.0
Home Runs 0.9 / 1.2 3.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 5.2 / 8.2 7.0 / 8.0
Total Bases 9.4 / 14.4 25.0 / 17.0
Walks 2.0 / 3.9 3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
75%MONEY25%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
96%MONEY4%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
73%MONEY27%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF Advantage
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
SF
COL
SF
ML
60% 97-64
49% 79-81
55% 88-73
53% 85-75
ATS
60% 97-64
62% 100-60
52% 83-78
52% 83-77
TTL
60% 93-62-6
55% 82-68-10
50% 77-78-6
46% 68-81-11
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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