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DETROIT

TIGERSDET

22-35  |  Road

3
FINAL
Fri, May 29 • 7:40 PM ET
Rate Field
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

29-27  |  Home

4
Probable Pitchers
Drew Anderson
STARTING PITCHER

Drew Anderson

#38 | Relief Pitcher
@
Bryan Hudson
STARTING PITCHER

Bryan Hudson

#60 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Drew Anderson None-None 3.62 -- 0.2 1
Bryan Hudson None-None 1.32 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
3.62 ERA Ldr 1.32
-- WHIP --
0.2 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 1.0
1 K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
35%
📊
WHITE SOX
65%
TIGERS --
WHITE SOX --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 40%
Under 0 60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
TigersDET (-3.5) 0 White SoxCHW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

40.1%

White Sox Cover

59.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHW +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)

DET By 1-2 runs

19.6%

DET By 3-4 runs

16.3%

CHW By 1-2 runs

16.3%

CHW By 3-4 runs

10.6%

AI Model Projected Score
5
DETROIT
4
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
2
DETROIT
4
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Tigers Loss
35% Win Prob
D
Sim White Sox Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI White Sox (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
B
Sim White Sox (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o8.5 Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim u8.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 20, 2026 DET @ CHW 1 - 8
Sep 19, 2026 DET @ CHW 1 - 3
Sep 18, 2026 DET @ CHW 11 - 8
Sep 17, 2026 DET @ CHW 1 - 3
Aug 16, 2026 CHW @ DET 7 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit DET
vs
Chicago CHW
162 ▲
Games Played
1
4.46
Runs / Game
▲ 6.00
.241
Avg (AVG)
▲ .324
.320
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .415
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .412
.720
OPS
▲ .826
181 ▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +99.4% more
Detroit: 181.0 vs Chicago: 1.0
Walks (L5) +40.9% more
Detroit: 3.0 vs Chicago: 1.8
Strikeouts (L5) +18.4% more
Detroit: 9.8 vs Chicago: 8.0
Hits (L5) +53.9% more
Chicago: 9.8 vs Detroit: 6.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 5.0 3
CHW Score 4.0 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.6 / 0.1 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 9.8 / 6.4 10.0 / 4.0
Home Runs 1.0 / 0.9 1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 8.0 / 9.8 9.0 / 3.0
Total Bases 14.4 / 11.0 17.0 / 7.0
Walks 1.8 / 3.0 4.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
41%MONEY59%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.3
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
DET
CHW
DET
ML
49% 81-86
54% 86-73
56% 94-73
54% 87-73
ATS
59% 99-68
64% 101-58
56% 93-74
57% 91-69
TTL
58% 96-69-2
46% 69-81-9
51% 84-81-2
46% 69-81-10
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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