ARIZONA
DIAMONDBACKSARI
31-24 | Road
6
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
28-29 | Home
7
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Juan Morillo
#62 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Andres Munoz
#75 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Morillo | None-None | 2.86 | -- | 0.1 | 1 |
| Andres Munoz | None-None | 4.98 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.86 Ldr
ERA
4.98
--
WHIP
--
0.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
DIAMONDBACKS
65%
MARINERS
35%
DIAMONDBACKS
--
MARINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
16.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
63%
Under 0
37%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SEA -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
ARI By 1-2 runs
7.8%
ARI By 3-4 runs
3.5%
SEA By 1-2 runs
16.3%
SEA By 3-4 runs
19.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Arizona
6
ARIZONA
Seattle
10
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Arizona
4
ARIZONA
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mariners
Win
35% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mariners
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mariners (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -4.0
D
Sim
Mariners (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o7.0
Win
Proj Total: 16.0
C
Sim
o7.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 31, 2026
ARI @ SEA
2 - 3
May 30, 2026
ARI @ SEA
1 - 5
May 29, 2026
ARI @ SEA
6 - 7
Jun 11, 2025
SEA @ ARI
2 - 5
Jun 10, 2025
SEA @ ARI
3 - 10
Season Statistics Comparison
Arizona
ARI
vs
Seattle
SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.56
▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.246
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.318
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.720
▲
OPS
.693
166
Home Runs
▲
182
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+78.0% more
Seattle: 1.5
vs
Arizona: 0.7
Errors (L5)
+58.0% more
Seattle: 0.6
vs
Arizona: 0.0
Total Bases (L5)
+36.5% more
Seattle: 17.4
vs
Arizona: 12.8
Walks (L5)
+30.4% more
Seattle: 2.7
vs
Arizona: 2.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ARI Score
6.0
6
SEA Score
10.0
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.0
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
10.7 / 8.5
13.0 / 13.0
Home Runs
1.5 / 0.7
4.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
7.4 / 6.2
7.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
17.4 / 12.8
27.0 / 20.0
Walks
2.7 / 2.0
4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARI
Advantage
86-76-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARI
Advantage
(52.5%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ARI
71-85-6
O: 45.5% / U: 54.5%
Total +/-: +0.3
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
ARI
SEA
ARI
ML
50%
81-81
54%
87-74
52%
85-77
54%
86-74
ATS
60%
98-64
57%
91-70
59%
95-67
56%
89-71
TTL
56%
85-67-10
52%
80-73-8
53%
81-71-10
49%
73-77-9
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