MIAMI
MARLINSMIA
26-31 | Road
7
NEW YORK
METSNYM
23-33 | Home
9
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Pete Fairbanks
#29 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Luis Torrens
#13 | Catcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Fairbanks | None-None | 7.53 | -- | 0.1 | -- |
| Luis Torrens | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
7.53
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
0.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
MARLINS
69%
METS
31%
MARLINS
--
METS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around NYM +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYM)
MIA By 1-2 runs
19.6%
MIA By 3-4 runs
16.3%
NYM By 1-2 runs
16.3%
NYM By 3-4 runs
10.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Miami
6
MIAMI
New York
5
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Miami
6
MIAMI
New York
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Marlins
Loss
69% Win Prob
C
Sim
Marlins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mets (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
D
Sim
Marlins (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o7.5
Win
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Sim
o7.5
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 9, 2026
NYM @ MIA
15 - 14
Sep 8, 2026
NYM @ MIA
7 - 5
Sep 7, 2026
NYM @ MIA
9 - 4
Aug 2, 2026
MIA @ NYM
2 - 0
Aug 1, 2026
MIA @ NYM
6 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Miami
MIA
vs
New York
NYM
162
Games Played
162
4.41
▲
Runs / Game
4.31
.249
▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.326
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.400
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.395
.727
▲
OPS
.705
168
Home Runs
▲
204
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+24.0% more
Miami: 8.4
vs
New York: 6.4
Runs per Game (Season)
+2.3% more
Miami: 4.4
vs
New York: 4.3
OPS (Season)
+2.2%
Miami: 72.7%
vs
New York: 70.5%
On-Base Pct (Season)
+1.6%
Miami: 32.6%
vs
New York: 31.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIA Score
6.0
7
NYM Score
5.0
9
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.2
1.0 / 2.0
Hits
6.4 / 8.4
8.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 0.4
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
9.6 / 9.5
9.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
10.5 / 11.4
14.0 / 21.0
Walks
5.8 / 2.0
2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIA
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
NYM
74-88-0
(45.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIA
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
NYM
(46.3%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIA
82-75-5
O: 52.2% / U: 47.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
NYM
77-73-12
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYM
MIA
NYM
MIA
ML
50%
79-80
48%
78-84
48%
76-83
55%
88-72
ATS
58%
93-66
56%
91-71
49%
78-81
54%
86-74
TTL
55%
80-66-13
56%
88-69-5
51%
74-72-13
53%
82-73-5
Contextual Game News
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Shrugs Off Yankee Stadium Boos: 'It Didn't Hur…
Yankees' Offseason Blueprint: Securing Bednar and Blackburn Key …
Yankees' Faithful Boo as Another Season Ends in Disappointment: …
MLB Upholds Ejection of Yankees Fan Who Interfered with Anthony …