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MINNESOTA

TWINSMIN

27-29  |  Road

2
FINAL
Thu, May 28 • 2:10 PM ET
Rate Field
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

28-27  |  Home

6
Probable Pitchers
Yoendrys Gomez
STARTING PITCHER

Yoendrys Gomez

#94 | Relief Pitcher
@
Grant Taylor
STARTING PITCHER

Grant Taylor

#31 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Yoendrys Gomez None-None 4.33 -- 1.0 2
Grant Taylor None-None 2.28 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
4.33 ERA Ldr 2.28
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
2 Ldr K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
54%
📊
WHITE SOX
46%
TWINS --
WHITE SOX --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 65%
Under 0 35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Chicago)
TwinsMIN (-3.5) 0 White SoxCHW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Twins Cover

40.1%

White Sox Cover

59.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CHW -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)

MIN By 1-2 runs

16.3%

MIN By 3-4 runs

10.6%

CHW By 1-2 runs

19.6%

CHW By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
4
MINNESOTA
5
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
4
MINNESOTA
6
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI White Sox Win
46% Win Prob
D
Sim White Sox Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI White Sox (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
B
Sim White Sox (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o7.5 Win
Proj Total: 9.0
C
Sim o7.5 Win
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 6, 2026 MIN @ CHW 1 - 10
Sep 5, 2026 MIN @ CHW 6 - 4
Sep 4, 2026 MIN @ CHW 1 - 4
Aug 30, 2026 CHW @ MIN 1 - 5
Aug 29, 2026 CHW @ MIN 3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota MIN
vs
Chicago CHW
162 ▲
Games Played
1
4.56
Runs / Game
▲ 6.00
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲ .324
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .415
.403
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .412
.720
OPS
▲ .826
187 ▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +60.5% more
Chicago: 10.7 vs Minnesota: 6.6
Home Runs (L5) +47.5% more
Chicago: 1.5 vs Minnesota: 1.0
Total Bases (L5) +35.2% more
Chicago: 16.1 vs Minnesota: 11.9
Runs per Game (Season) +31.6% more
Chicago: 6.0 vs Minnesota: 4.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 4.0 2
CHW Score 5.0 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.3 1.0 / 1.0
Hits 10.7 / 6.6 8.0 / 5.0
Home Runs 1.5 / 1.0 0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 8.0 / 8.9 8.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 16.1 / 11.9 11.0 / 7.0
Walks 1.7 / 3.5 2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
14%MONEY86%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
13%MONEY87%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
43%MONEY57%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +1.0
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
MIN
CHW
MIN
ML
49% 81-86
52% 84-78
56% 94-73
50% 80-81
ATS
59% 99-68
59% 95-67
56% 93-74
59% 95-66
TTL
58% 96-69-2
51% 78-75-9
51% 84-81-2
53% 80-72-9
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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