Home / MLB Projections MLB / Angels @ Tigers LAA @ DET

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

21-35  |  Road

7
FINAL
Thu, May 28 • 1:10 PM ET
Comerica Park
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

TIGERSDET

22-34  |  Home

1
Probable Pitchers
Sam Bachman
STARTING PITCHER

Sam Bachman

#40 | Relief Pitcher
@
Brenan Hanifee
STARTING PITCHER

Brenan Hanifee

#75 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Sam Bachman None-None 2.33 -- 1.0 1
Brenan Hanifee None-None 1.59 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
2.33 ERA Ldr 1.59
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
1 K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
63%
📊
TIGERS
38%
ANGELS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 40%
Under 0 60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Detroit)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 TigersDET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

40.1%

Tigers Cover

59.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around DET -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

LAA By 1-2 runs

16.3%

LAA By 3-4 runs

10.6%

DET By 1-2 runs

19.6%

DET By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
4
LOS ANGELES
5
DETROIT
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
7
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Loss
38% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
B
Sim Tigers (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o8.5 Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim o8.5 Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jul 19, 2026 DET @ LAA 2 - 3
Jul 18, 2026 DET @ LAA 7 - 0
Jul 17, 2026 DET @ LAA 2 - 1
May 28, 2026 LAA @ DET 7 - 1
May 27, 2026 LAA @ DET 0 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Detroit DET
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 4.46
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .241
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .320
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .400
.679
OPS
▲ .720
154
Home Runs
▲ 181
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +17.5% more
Detroit: 181.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Hits (L5) +14.6% more
Detroit: 8.0 vs Los Angeles: 7.0
Runs per Game (Season) +10.4% more
Detroit: 4.5 vs Los Angeles: 4.0
Total Bases (L5) +10.2% more
Detroit: 12.9 vs Los Angeles: 11.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 4.0 7
DET Score 5.0 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.1 / 0.5 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.0 / 7.0 3.0 / 11.0
Home Runs 0.8 / 1.2 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 8.8 / 9.7 12.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 12.9 / 11.7 7.0 / 16.0
Walks 3.1 / 4.2 3.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
40%MONEY60%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
17%MONEY83%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
81%MONEY19%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
DET Advantage
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
DET Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
LAA
DET
LAA
ML
54% 86-73
59% 96-66
54% 87-73
55% 89-73
ATS
64% 101-58
60% 97-65
57% 91-69
51% 82-80
TTL
46% 69-81-9
53% 83-74-5
46% 69-81-10
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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