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MINNESOTA

TWINSMIN

27-28  |  Road

2
FINAL
Wed, May 27 • 7:40 PM ET
Rate Field
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

27-27  |  Home

15
Probable Pitchers
Travis Adams
STARTING PITCHER

Travis Adams

#45 | Relief Pitcher
@
Trevor Richards
STARTING PITCHER

Trevor Richards

#43 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Travis Adams None-None 8.00 -- 1.0 2
Trevor Richards None-None 6.92 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
8.00 ERA Ldr 6.92
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
2 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
58%
📊
WHITE SOX
42%
TWINS --
WHITE SOX --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 56%
Under 0 44%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
TwinsMIN (-3.5) 0 White SoxCHW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Twins Cover

40.1%

White Sox Cover

59.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHW +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)

MIN By 1-2 runs

19.6%

MIN By 3-4 runs

16.3%

CHW By 1-2 runs

16.3%

CHW By 3-4 runs

10.6%

AI Model Projected Score
4
MINNESOTA
3
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
3
MINNESOTA
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Twins Loss
58% Win Prob
D
Sim White Sox Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI White Sox (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
D
Sim White Sox (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u8.0 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u8.0 Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 6, 2026 MIN @ CHW 1 - 10
Sep 5, 2026 MIN @ CHW 6 - 4
Sep 4, 2026 MIN @ CHW 1 - 4
Aug 30, 2026 CHW @ MIN 1 - 5
Aug 29, 2026 CHW @ MIN 3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota MIN
vs
Chicago CHW
162 ▲
Games Played
1
4.56
Runs / Game
▲ 6.00
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲ .324
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .415
.403
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .412
.720
OPS
▲ .826
187 ▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +99.5% more
Minnesota: 187.0 vs Chicago: 1.0
Hits (L5) +17.4% more
Minnesota: 8.5 vs Chicago: 7.0
Total Bases (L5) +9.3% more
Minnesota: 12.9 vs Chicago: 11.7
Home Runs (L5) +73.0% more
Chicago: 1.2 vs Minnesota: 0.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 4.0 2
CHW Score 3.0 15
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.6 / 0.4 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.0 / 8.5 18.0 / 3.0
Home Runs 1.2 / 0.5 2.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 9.5 / 9.4 5.0 / 8.0
Total Bases 11.7 / 12.9 25.0 / 10.0
Walks 2.5 / 1.8 0.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
47%MONEY53%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
34%MONEY66%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
93%MONEY7%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
88-80-0 (52.4%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
(57.7%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +1.0
CHW
97-69-2
O: 58.4% / U: 41.6% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
MIN
CHW
MIN
ML
48% 81-87
52% 84-78
56% 94-74
50% 80-81
ATS
59% 99-69
59% 95-67
55% 93-75
59% 95-66
TTL
58% 97-69-2
51% 78-75-9
51% 85-81-2
53% 80-72-9
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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