Home / MLB Projections MLB / Yankees @ Royals NYY @ KC

NEW YORK

YANKEESNYY

33-22  |  Road

7
FINAL
Wed, May 27 • 7:40 PM ET
Kauffman Stadium
View Odds Details →

KANSAS CITY

ROYALSKC

22-33  |  Home

0
Probable Pitchers
John Schreiber
STARTING PITCHER

John Schreiber

#56 | Relief Pitcher
@
Alex Lange
STARTING PITCHER

Alex Lange

#56 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
John Schreiber None-None 2.95 -- 1.0 --
Alex Lange None-None 4.81 -- 0.1 --
None-None W-L None-None
2.95 Ldr ERA 4.81
-- WHIP --
1.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 0.1
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
YANKEES
67%
📊
ROYALS
33%
YANKEES --
ROYALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 35%
Under 0 65%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (New York)
YankeesNYY (-3.5) 0 RoyalsKC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Yankees Cover

77.3%

Royals Cover

22.7%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around NYY -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)

NYY By 1-2 runs

18.4%

NYY By 3-4 runs

19.6%

KC By 1-2 runs

10.6%

KC By 3-4 runs

5.4%

AI Model Projected Score
6
NEW YORK
3
KANSAS CITY
Simulated Score
6
NEW YORK
4
KANSAS CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Yankees Win
67% Win Prob
C
Sim Yankees Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Yankees (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Sim Yankees (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o8.5 Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim o8.5 Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 27, 2026 NYY @ KC 7 - 0
May 26, 2026 NYY @ KC 15 - 1
May 25, 2026 NYY @ KC 4 - 3
Apr 19, 2026 KC @ NYY 0 - 7
Apr 18, 2026 KC @ NYY 4 - 13
Season Statistics Comparison
New York NYY
vs
Kansas City KC
1
Games Played
▲ 162
9.00 ▲
Runs / Game
4.26
.375 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.247
.447 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.316
.594 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
1.041 ▲
OPS
.718
2
Home Runs
▲ 170
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +65.5% more
New York: 2.6 vs Kansas City: 0.9
Runs per Game (Season) +52.7% more
New York: 9.0 vs Kansas City: 4.3
Total Bases (L5) +51.1% more
New York: 23.6 vs Kansas City: 11.6
Hits (L5) +48.3% more
New York: 13.3 vs Kansas City: 6.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYY Score 6.0 7
KC Score 3.0 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.1 / 0.1 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 6.9 / 13.3 4.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 0.9 / 2.6 0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 5.6 / 6.6 7.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 11.6 / 23.6 6.0 / 13.0
Walks 3.1 / 3.2 4.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
93%TICKETS7%
94%MONEY6%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
86%TICKETS14%
92%MONEY8%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
61%MONEY39%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYY Advantage
95-71-0 (57.2%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-:
KC
69-93-0 (42.6%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYY Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-:
KC
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +0.2
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KC
NYY
KC
NYY
ML
55% 89-72
47% 76-85
56% 90-70
52% 85-77
ATS
57% 91-70
59% 95-66
58% 93-67
53% 86-76
TTL
58% 90-64-7
53% 81-73-7
54% 83-70-7
53% 82-72-7
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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