Home / MLB Projections MLB / Twins @ White Sox MIN @ CHW

MINNESOTA

TWINSMIN

26-28  |  Road

5
FINAL
Tue, May 26 • 7:40 PM ET
Rate Field
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

27-26  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Yoendrys Gomez
STARTING PITCHER

Yoendrys Gomez

#94 | Relief Pitcher
@
Bryan Hudson
STARTING PITCHER

Bryan Hudson

#60 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Yoendrys Gomez None-None 4.50 -- 1.0 1
Bryan Hudson None-None 1.37 -- 1.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
4.50 ERA Ldr 1.37
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
1 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
50%
📊
WHITE SOX
50%
TWINS --
WHITE SOX --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 55%
Under 0 45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Minnesota)
TwinsMIN (-3.5) 0 White SoxCHW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Twins Cover

84.1%

White Sox Cover

15.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIN -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

MIN By 1-2 runs

16.3%

MIN By 3-4 runs

19.6%

CHW By 1-2 runs

7.8%

CHW By 3-4 runs

3.5%

AI Model Projected Score
6
MINNESOTA
2
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
4
MINNESOTA
6
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Twins Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim White Sox Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Twins (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -4.0
D
Sim White Sox (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o7.5 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Sim o7.5 Win
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 6, 2026 MIN @ CHW 1 - 10
Sep 5, 2026 MIN @ CHW 6 - 4
Sep 4, 2026 MIN @ CHW 1 - 4
Aug 30, 2026 CHW @ MIN 1 - 5
Aug 29, 2026 CHW @ MIN 3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota MIN
vs
Chicago CHW
162 ▲
Games Played
1
4.56
Runs / Game
▲ 6.00
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲ .324
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .415
.403
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .412
.720
OPS
▲ .826
187 ▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +99.5% more
Minnesota: 187.0 vs Chicago: 1.0
Hits (L5) +29.4% more
Minnesota: 9.2 vs Chicago: 6.5
Total Bases (L5) +16.6% more
Minnesota: 13.8 vs Chicago: 11.5
Walks (L5) +13.5% more
Minnesota: 2.7 vs Chicago: 2.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 6.0 5
CHW Score 2.0 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.9 / 0.6 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 6.5 / 9.2 8.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 1.4 / 0.8 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 7.8 / 8.1 13.0 / 12.0
Total Bases 11.5 / 13.8 12.0 / 11.0
Walks 2.3 / 2.7 3.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
69%MONEY31%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
58%MONEY42%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
71%MONEY29%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
88-80-0 (52.4%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
(57.7%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +1.0
CHW
97-69-2
O: 58.4% / U: 41.6% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
MIN
CHW
MIN
ML
48% 81-87
52% 84-78
56% 94-74
50% 80-81
ATS
59% 99-69
59% 95-67
55% 93-75
59% 95-66
TTL
58% 97-69-2
51% 78-75-9
51% 85-81-2
53% 80-72-9
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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