SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
25-29 | Road
9
ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
27-26 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Bryce Miller
#50 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jack Perkins
#50 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Miller | None-None | 2.25 | -- | 5.0 | 4 |
| Jack Perkins | None-None | 5.04 | -- | 4.2 | 7 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.25 Ldr
ERA
5.04
--
WHIP
--
5.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
4.2
4
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 7
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
45%
ATHLETICS
55%
MARINERS
--
ATHLETICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
35%
Under 0
65%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Athletics)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around ATH -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)
SEA By 1-2 runs
16.3%
SEA By 3-4 runs
10.6%
ATH By 1-2 runs
19.6%
ATH By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
4
SEATTLE
Athletics
5
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Athletics
3
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Athletics
Loss
55% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mariners
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Athletics (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
C
Sim
Mariners (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u10.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
C
Sim
u10.5
Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2026
SEA @ ATH
7 - 8
Sep 12, 2026
SEA @ ATH
19 - 1
Sep 11, 2026
SEA @ ATH
5 - 6
Sep 6, 2026
ATH @ SEA
0 - 2
Sep 5, 2026
ATH @ SEA
6 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Athletics
ATH
162
Games Played
162
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
4.31
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.245
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.402
.693
OPS
▲
.719
182
Home Runs
▲
194
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+37.1% more
Athletics: 4.3
vs
Seattle: 3.1
Hits (L5)
+10.5% more
Athletics: 8.0
vs
Seattle: 7.3
Strikeouts (L5)
+8.1% more
Athletics: 7.9
vs
Seattle: 7.3
Home Runs (Season)
+6.6% more
Athletics: 194.0
vs
Seattle: 182.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
4.0
9
ATH Score
5.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 1.5
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.0 / 7.3
7.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
0.5 / 0.8
1.0 / 4.0
Strikeouts
7.9 / 7.3
10.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
11.2 / 12.4
12.0 / 26.0
Walks
4.3 / 3.1
1.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
Advantage
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
ATH
Advantage
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
SEA
ATH
SEA
ML
59%
95-67
50%
81-81
54%
87-74
52%
85-77
ATS
52%
84-78
60%
98-64
50%
81-80
59%
95-67
TTL
54%
84-73-5
56%
85-67-10
42%
66-90-5
53%
81-71-10
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