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COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

20-34  |  Road

3
FINAL
Mon, May 25 • 9:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

33-20  |  Home

5
Probable Pitchers
Brennan Bernardino
STARTING PITCHER

Brennan Bernardino

#83 | Relief Pitcher
@
Alex Vesia
STARTING PITCHER

Alex Vesia

#51 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Brennan Bernardino None-None 4.29 -- 0.2 --
Alex Vesia None-None 2.41 -- 0.2 --
None-None W-L None-None
4.29 ERA Ldr 2.41
-- WHIP --
0.2 IP (Innings Pitched) 0.2
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
25%
📊
DODGERS
75%
ROCKIES --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Los Angeles)
RockiesCOL (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rockies Cover

40.1%

Dodgers Cover

59.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

COL By 1-2 runs

16.3%

COL By 3-4 runs

10.6%

LAD By 1-2 runs

19.6%

LAD By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
4
COLORADO
5
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
9
COLORADO
6
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Dodgers Win
75% Win Prob
B
Sim Rockies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Dodgers (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim Rockies (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u9.0 Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim o9.0 Loss
Proj Total: 15.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 19, 2026 LAD @ COL 6 - 4
Aug 18, 2026 LAD @ COL 7 - 6
Aug 17, 2026 LAD @ COL 11 - 5
Jul 8, 2026 COL @ LAD 3 - 4
Jul 7, 2026 COL @ LAD 4 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado COL
vs
Los Angeles LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.64
Runs / Game
▲ 4.94
.254
Avg (AVG)
▲ .257
.322
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .338
.417
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.739
OPS
▲ .762
180
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +74.0% more
Los Angeles: 1.0 vs Colorado: 0.2
Total Bases (L5) +50.4% more
Los Angeles: 12.9 vs Colorado: 8.6
Strikeouts (L5) +21.4% more
Los Angeles: 7.8 vs Colorado: 6.4
Home Runs (Season) +13.3% more
Los Angeles: 204.0 vs Colorado: 180.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COL Score 4.0 3
LAD Score 5.0 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.3 / 0.6 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.1 / 7.1 8.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 1.0 / 0.2 0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 7.8 / 6.4 12.0 / 3.0
Total Bases 12.9 / 8.6 12.0 / 11.0
Walks 2.6 / 2.4 1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
62%MONEY38%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
5%MONEY95%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
26%MONEY74%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
COL
LAD
COL
ML
56% 92-73
60% 97-64
48% 79-87
55% 88-73
ATS
59% 98-67
60% 97-64
43% 72-94
52% 83-78
TTL
48% 77-82-6
60% 93-62-6
44% 70-90-6
50% 77-78-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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