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TEXAS

RANGERSTEX

24-27  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sun, May 24 • 7:20 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

19-34  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Jakob Junis
STARTING PITCHER

Jakob Junis

#16 | Relief Pitcher
@
Sam Bachman
STARTING PITCHER

Sam Bachman

#40 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jakob Junis None-None 1.57 -- 2.0 4
Sam Bachman None-None 2.42 -- 1.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
1.57 Ldr ERA 2.42
-- WHIP --
2.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
4 Ldr K (Strikeouts) 2
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
50%
📊
ANGELS
50%
RANGERS --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 60%
Under 0 40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Los Angeles)
RangersTEX (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rangers Cover

30.9%

Angels Cover

69.1%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

TEX By 1-2 runs

13.6%

TEX By 3-4 runs

7.8%

LAA By 1-2 runs

19.6%

LAA By 3-4 runs

18.4%

AI Model Projected Score
3
TEXAS
5
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
TEXAS
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Angels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Angels (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
C
Sim Angels (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o7.5 Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Sim o7.5 Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 23, 2026 LAA @ TEX 3 - 5
Aug 22, 2026 LAA @ TEX 3 - 0
Aug 21, 2026 LAA @ TEX 1 - 2
Aug 13, 2026 TEX @ LAA 0 - 7
Aug 12, 2026 TEX @ LAA 2 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas TEX
vs
Los Angeles LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.15 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.242 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.317 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.396 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.713 ▲
OPS
.679
183 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +52.7% more
Los Angeles: 4.8 vs Texas: 3.1
Strikeouts (L5) +38.9% more
Los Angeles: 9.0 vs Texas: 6.5
Home Runs (L5) +31.4% more
Los Angeles: 1.8 vs Texas: 1.4
Hits (L5) +19.2% more
Texas: 10.1 vs Los Angeles: 8.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TEX Score 3.0 1
LAA Score 5.0 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 0.5 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 8.1 / 10.1 4.0 / 3.0
Home Runs 1.8 / 1.4 0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 9.0 / 6.5 16.0 / 12.0
Total Bases 15.1 / 17.3 4.0 / 6.0
Walks 4.8 / 3.1 1.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
74%MONEY26%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
19%MONEY81%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
55%MONEY45%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX Advantage
80-82-0 (49.4%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1% Total +/-: +0.6
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
TEX
LAA
TEX
ML
59% 96-66
53% 86-76
55% 89-73
57% 91-70
ATS
60% 97-65
57% 92-70
51% 82-80
61% 98-63
TTL
53% 83-74-5
53% 78-70-14
52% 82-75-5
55% 81-66-14
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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