Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ Cavaliers NY @ CLE

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

53-29  |  Road

130
FINAL
Mon, May 25 • 8:00 PM ET
Rocket Arena
View Odds Details →

CLEVELAND

CAVALIERSCLE

52-30  |  Home

93
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
85%
📊
CAVALIERS
15%
KNICKS --
CAVALIERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 47%
Under 0 53%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (New York)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 CavaliersCLE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

96.4%

Cavaliers Cover

3.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

NY By 1-7 points

10.7%

NY By 8-14 points

21.6%

CLE By 1-7 points

2.7%

CLE By 8-14 points

0.5%

AI Model Projected Score
120
NEW YORK
102
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
104
NEW YORK
108
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knicks Win
85% Win Prob
A
Sim Cavaliers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Knicks (+2) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
A
Sim Cavaliers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o219.0 Win
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Sim u219.0 Win
Proj Total: 212.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 25, 2026 NY @ CLE 130 - 93
May 23, 2026 NY @ CLE 121 - 108
May 21, 2026 CLE @ NY 93 - 109
May 19, 2026 CLE @ NY 104 - 115
Feb 24, 2026 NY @ CLE 94 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +23.4% more
New York: 27.6 vs Cleveland: 21.2
Steals (L5) +14.3% more
New York: 8.6 vs Cleveland: 7.4
Field Goal % (L5) +8.2%
New York: 53.2% vs Cleveland: 45.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.1%
New York: 38.3% vs Cleveland: 30.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 120.0 130
CLE Score 102.0 93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.2 / 38.3 28.0 / 44.0
Assists 21.2 / 27.6 21.0 / 33.0
Blocks 3.9 / 4.0 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.0 / 53.2 42.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 68.4 / 74.3 82.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 39.1 / 41.5 33.0 / 60.0
Steals 7.4 / 8.6 9.0 / 15.0
Turnovers 15.6 / 13.4 22.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
68%MONEY32%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
76%MONEY24%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
CLE
60-40-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
CLE
40-60-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
NY
CLE
NY
ML
60% 69-46
61% 114-72
56% 55-44
56% 57-45
ATS
67% 75-37-3
67% 124-62
56% 55-44
56% 57-45
TTL
59% 68-47
72% 133-53
100% 99-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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