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CAROLINA

HURRICANESCAR

53-22-7  |  Road

3
FINAL
Mon, May 25 • 8:00 PM ET
Bell Centre
View Odds Details →

MONTREAL

CANADIENSMTL

48-24-10  |  Home

2
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
60%
📊
CANADIENS
40%
HURRICANES --
CANADIENS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 65%
Under 0 35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MONTREAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Montreal)
HurricanesCAR (-3.5) 0 CanadiensMTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hurricanes Cover

30.9%

Canadiens Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MTL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MTL)

CAR By 1 goal

12.1%

CAR By 2-3 goals

9.3%

MTL By 1 goal

19.7%

MTL By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
CAROLINA
4
MONTREAL
Simulated Score
2
CAROLINA
4
MONTREAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Canadiens Loss
40% Win Prob
D
Sim Canadiens Loss
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Canadiens (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Sim Canadiens (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 6, 2026 CAR @ MTL 6 - 4
May 29, 2026 MTL @ CAR 1 - 6
May 27, 2026 CAR @ MTL 4 - 0
May 25, 2026 CAR @ MTL 3 - 2
May 23, 2026 MTL @ CAR 2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +79.8% more
Montreal: 19.6 vs Carolina: 10.9
Hits (L5) +45.4% more
Carolina: 39.5 vs Montreal: 21.5
Takeaways (L5) +23.6% more
Carolina: 5.7 vs Montreal: 4.3
Power Play % (L5) +18.2%
Carolina: 20.5% vs Montreal: 2.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAR Score 3.0 3
MTL Score 4.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
54%MONEY46%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
77%MONEY23%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
84%MONEY16%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MTL
CAR
MTL
CAR
ML
67% 2-1
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
ATS
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
100% 3-0
100% 4-0
TTL
33% 1-2
0% 0-4
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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