Home / MLB Projections MLB / White Sox @ Giants CHW @ SF

CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

26-25  |  Road

5
FINAL
Sun, May 24 • 4:05 PM ET
Oracle Park
View Odds Details →

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

21-31  |  Home

8
Probable Pitchers
Grant Taylor
STARTING PITCHER

Grant Taylor

#31 | Relief Pitcher
@
👤
STARTING PITCHER

Keaton Winn

#67 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Grant Taylor None-None 2.45 -- 0.1 --
Keaton Winn None-None 1.93 -- 2.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
2.45 ERA Ldr 1.93
-- WHIP --
0.1 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 2.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
63%
📊
GIANTS
38%
WHITE SOX --
GIANTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 72%
Under 0 28%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (San Francisco)
White SoxCHW (-3.5) 0 GiantsSF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

White Sox Cover

15.9%

Giants Cover

84.1%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SF -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

CHW By 1-2 runs

7.8%

CHW By 3-4 runs

3.5%

SF By 1-2 runs

16.3%

SF By 3-4 runs

19.6%

AI Model Projected Score
1
CHICAGO
5
SAN FRANCISCO
Simulated Score
3
CHICAGO
5
SAN FRANCISCO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Giants Win
38% Win Prob
D
Sim Giants Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Giants (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -4.0
D
Sim Giants (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u8.0 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u8.0 Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 24, 2026 CHW @ SF 5 - 8
May 23, 2026 CHW @ SF 3 - 10
May 22, 2026 CHW @ SF 9 - 4
Jun 29, 2025 SF @ CHW 2 - 5
Jun 28, 2025 SF @ CHW 0 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago CHW
vs
San Francisco SF
1
Games Played
▲ 162
6.00 ▲
Runs / Game
4.13
.324 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.415 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.306
.412 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.826 ▲
OPS
.706
1
Home Runs
▲ 178
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +17700.0% more
San Francisco: 178.0 vs Chicago: 1.0
Home Runs (L5) +108.0% more
San Francisco: 1.6 vs Chicago: 0.6
Total Bases (L5) +53.2% more
San Francisco: 17.5 vs Chicago: 11.4
Hits (L5) +24.8% more
San Francisco: 10.1 vs Chicago: 8.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHW Score 1.0 5
SF Score 5.0 8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.9 / 0.7 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 10.1 / 8.1 11.0 / 4.0
Home Runs 1.6 / 0.6 2.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 9.1 / 8.6 8.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 17.5 / 11.4 21.0 / 11.0
Walks 2.6 / 3.4 8.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
43%MONEY57%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
19%TICKETS81%
24%MONEY76%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
50%MONEY50%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW Advantage
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
SF
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
SF
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SF
CHW
SF
CHW
ML
49% 79-81
49% 81-86
53% 85-75
56% 94-73
ATS
62% 100-60
59% 99-68
52% 83-77
56% 93-74
TTL
55% 82-68-10
58% 96-69-2
46% 68-81-11
51% 84-81-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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