WASHINGTON
NATIONALSWSH
26-27 | Road
2
ATLANTA
BRAVESATL
36-17 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Orlando Ribalta
#64 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Reynaldo Lopez
#40 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Ribalta | None-None | 2.31 | -- | 0.2 | 1 |
| Reynaldo Lopez | None-None | 3.62 | -- | 2.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.31 Ldr
ERA
3.62
--
WHIP
--
0.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 2.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
NATIONALS
46%
BRAVES
54%
NATIONALS
--
BRAVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
65%
Under 0
35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around ATL -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
WSH By 1-2 runs
13.6%
WSH By 3-4 runs
7.8%
ATL By 1-2 runs
19.6%
ATL By 3-4 runs
18.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
3
WASHINGTON
Atlanta
5
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
Washington
6
WASHINGTON
Atlanta
3
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Braves
Loss
54% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nationals
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Braves (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Nationals (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u8.5
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Sim
o8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 2, 2026
ATL @ WSH
9 - 0
Sep 1, 2026
ATL @ WSH
5 - 9
Aug 2, 2026
WSH @ ATL
2 - 4
Aug 1, 2026
WSH @ ATL
3 - 8
Jul 31, 2026
WSH @ ATL
2 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Washington
WSH
vs
Atlanta
ATL
162
▲
Games Played
1
5.07
▲
Runs / Game
5.00
.246
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.321
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.324
.423
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.433
.744
OPS
▲
.757
210
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+24.9% more
Atlanta: 2.3
vs
Washington: 1.8
Strikeouts (L5)
+15.5% more
Atlanta: 11.4
vs
Washington: 9.8
OPS (Season)
+1.3%
Atlanta: 75.7%
vs
Washington: 74.4%
Slugging Pct (Season)
+1.0%
Atlanta: 43.3%
vs
Washington: 42.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
3.0
2
ATL Score
5.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.9
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
7.2 / 8.2
6.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
0.8 / 1.6
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
11.4 / 9.8
5.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
10.9 / 15.6
7.0 / 7.0
Walks
2.3 / 1.8
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
ATL
Advantage
97-72-0
(57.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
Advantage
(56.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
ATL
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
85-69-8
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +1.3
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
WSH
ATL
WSH
ML
46%
77-90
57%
92-69
54%
90-78
54%
87-74
ATS
57%
96-71
58%
93-68
52%
87-81
57%
91-70
TTL
53%
83-73-11
50%
77-78-6
49%
76-80-11
42%
65-90-6
Contextual Game News
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat
Dodgers Embrace 'Dinosaur' Label While Trolling Padres After NLD…
Walt Weiss Reveals Why Ronald Acuña Jr. Was DH in Game 3
Shohei Ohtani's Slump Raises Concerns for Dodgers in NLDS