NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
53-29 | Road
121
CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
52-30 | Home
108
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
75%
CAVALIERS
25%
KNICKS
--
CAVALIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
58%
Under 0
42%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
NY By 1-7 points
20.1%
NY By 8-14 points
27.2%
CLE By 1-7 points
8.0%
CLE By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
123
NEW YORK
Cleveland
111
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
New York
105
NEW YORK
Cleveland
110
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knicks
Win
75% Win Prob
B
Sim
Cavaliers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knicks (-3)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
B
Sim
Cavaliers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o215.0
Win
Proj Total: 234.0
D
Sim
u215.0
Win
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 25, 2026
NY @ CLE
130 - 93
May 23, 2026
NY @ CLE
121 - 108
May 21, 2026
CLE @ NY
93 - 109
May 19, 2026
CLE @ NY
104 - 115
Feb 24, 2026
NY @ CLE
94 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+25.8% more
New York: 28.0
vs
Cleveland: 20.8
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.3%
New York: 51.7%
vs
Cleveland: 42.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.1%
New York: 38.0%
vs
Cleveland: 30.9%
Blocks (L5)
+36.1% more
Cleveland: 5.4
vs
New York: 3.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
123.0
121
CLE Score
111.0
108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.9 / 38.0
29.0 / 39.0
Assists
20.8 / 28.0
22.0 / 27.0
Blocks
5.4 / 3.9
1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
42.5 / 51.7
50.0 / 56.0
Free Throw %
71.1 / 66.9
63.0 / 89.0
Rebounding
41.7 / 43.7
34.0 / 37.0
Steals
7.6 / 7.4
7.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
14.4 / 12.6
18.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
CLE
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
NY
CLE
NY
ML
60%
69-46
61%
114-72
56%
55-44
56%
57-45
ATS
67%
75-37-3
67%
124-62
56%
55-44
56%
57-45
TTL
59%
68-47
72%
133-53
100%
99-0
100%
102-0
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