Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ Cavaliers NY @ CLE

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

53-29  |  Road

121
FINAL
Sat, May 23 • 8:00 PM ET
Rocket Arena
View Odds Details →

CLEVELAND

CAVALIERSCLE

52-30  |  Home

108
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
75%
📊
CAVALIERS
25%
KNICKS --
CAVALIERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 58%
Under 0 42%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (New York)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 CavaliersCLE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

88.5%

Cavaliers Cover

11.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

NY By 1-7 points

20.1%

NY By 8-14 points

27.2%

CLE By 1-7 points

8.0%

CLE By 8-14 points

2.2%

AI Model Projected Score
123
NEW YORK
111
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
105
NEW YORK
110
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knicks Win
75% Win Prob
B
Sim Cavaliers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Knicks (-3) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
B
Sim Cavaliers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o215.0 Win
Proj Total: 234.0
D
Sim u215.0 Win
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 25, 2026 NY @ CLE 130 - 93
May 23, 2026 NY @ CLE 121 - 108
May 21, 2026 CLE @ NY 93 - 109
May 19, 2026 CLE @ NY 104 - 115
Feb 24, 2026 NY @ CLE 94 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +25.8% more
New York: 28.0 vs Cleveland: 20.8
Field Goal % (L5) +9.3%
New York: 51.7% vs Cleveland: 42.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.1%
New York: 38.0% vs Cleveland: 30.9%
Turnovers (L5) +48.4% more
Cleveland: 15.7 vs New York: 10.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 123.0 121
CLE Score 111.0 108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.9 / 38.0 29.0 / 39.0
Assists 20.8 / 28.0 22.0 / 27.0
Blocks 5.4 / 3.9 1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 42.5 / 51.7 50.0 / 56.0
Free Throw % 71.1 / 66.9 63.0 / 89.0
Rebounding 41.7 / 43.7 34.0 / 37.0
Steals 7.6 / 7.4 7.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 14.4 / 12.6 18.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
63%MONEY37%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
68%MONEY32%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -4.1
CLE Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 2.0 ATS +/-: -3.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -4.1
CLE Advantage
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: 2.0 ATS +/-: -3.3
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0% Total +/-: -6.9
CLE
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
NY
CLE
NY
ML
75% 3-1
40% 2-3
100% 4-0
60% 3-2
ATS
75% 3-1
20% 1-4
75% 3-1
80% 4-1
TTL
50% 2-2
80% 4-1
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Bulls Seek First Home Win Against Struggling Knicks
si 4 hours, 2 minutes ago
Warriors' Kristaps Porzingis Situation Reaches Critical Juncture…
newsweek 9 hours, 59 minutes ago
AJ Dybantsa Set for Wizards Debut Wednesday vs. Cavaliers After …
bleacherreport 10 hours, 3 minutes ago
Knicks Associate Head Coach Chris Jent Takes Personal Leave Amid…
thesun 10 hours, 4 minutes ago
Spurs' Tight-Knit Roster Fuels Julian Champagnie's Career Night …
yahoo 10 hours, 5 minutes ago