DETROIT
TIGERSDET
20-31 | Road
4
BALTIMORE
ORIOLESBAL
21-29 | Home
7
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Kyle Finnegan
#67 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Anthony Nunez
#66 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Finnegan | None-None | 1.50 | -- | 1.1 | -- |
| Anthony Nunez | None-None | 4.94 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
1.50 Ldr
ERA
4.94
--
WHIP
--
1.1 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
ORIOLES
0%
TIGERS
--
ORIOLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
BALTIMORE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Baltimore)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around BAL -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BAL)
DET By 1-2 runs
5.4%
DET By 3-4 runs
2.2%
BAL By 1-2 runs
13.6%
BAL By 3-4 runs
18.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Baltimore
8
BALTIMORE
Simulated Score
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Baltimore
5
BALTIMORE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Orioles
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Orioles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Orioles (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -5.0
D
Sim
Orioles (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o8.0
Win
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Sim
u8.0
Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 29, 2026
BAL @ DET
10 - 9
Jul 28, 2026
BAL @ DET
0 - 14
Jul 27, 2026
BAL @ DET
8 - 5
May 24, 2026
DET @ BAL
3 - 5
May 22, 2026
DET @ BAL
4 - 7
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit
DET
vs
Baltimore
BAL
162
▲
Games Played
161
4.46
Runs / Game
4.46
.241
▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.320
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.400
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.396
.720
▲
OPS
.711
181
Home Runs
▲
199
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+99.0% more
Baltimore: 1.7
vs
Detroit: 0.7
Total Bases (L5)
+68.1% more
Baltimore: 14.5
vs
Detroit: 8.6
Walks (L5)
+46.9% more
Baltimore: 4.2
vs
Detroit: 2.9
Hits (L5)
+38.5% more
Baltimore: 8.3
vs
Detroit: 6.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
3.0
4
BAL Score
8.0
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.1
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.3 / 6.0
14.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
1.7 / 0.7
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
7.2 / 7.2
12.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
14.5 / 8.6
24.0 / 14.0
Walks
4.2 / 2.9
0.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
BAL
Advantage
79-82-0
(49.1%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
BAL
Advantage
(52.8%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
BAL
80-77-4
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BAL
DET
BAL
DET
ML
53%
83-73
54%
86-73
57%
90-69
54%
87-73
ATS
61%
95-60-1
64%
101-58
57%
90-68-1
57%
91-69
TTL
54%
81-70-5
46%
69-81-9
51%
78-75-6
46%
69-81-10
Contextual Game News
MLB Upholds Ejection of Yankees Fan Who Interfered with Anthony …
Yankees Fan Ejected After Interfering with Potential Game-Tying …
LSU's Defense Dominates Early, But Real Test Awaits
Orioles' Centerfield Crisis: Why Byron Buxton Could Be the Answer
Padres and Brewers: A Friendly Rivalry Rooted in Shared History