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CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

25-24  |  Road

9
FINAL
Fri, May 22 • 10:15 PM ET
Oracle Park
View Odds Details →

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

20-30  |  Home

4
Probable Pitchers
Trevor Richards
STARTING PITCHER

Trevor Richards

#43 | Relief Pitcher
@
JT Brubaker
STARTING PITCHER

JT Brubaker

#34 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Trevor Richards None-None 8.10 -- 1.0 2
JT Brubaker None-None 3.33 -- 3.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
8.10 ERA Ldr 3.33
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 3.0
2 Ldr K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
0%
📊
GIANTS
100%
WHITE SOX --
GIANTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Chicago)
White SoxCHW (-3.5) 0 GiantsSF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

White Sox Cover

77.3%

Giants Cover

22.7%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHW -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)

CHW By 1-2 runs

18.4%

CHW By 3-4 runs

19.6%

SF By 1-2 runs

10.6%

SF By 3-4 runs

5.4%

AI Model Projected Score
6
CHICAGO
3
SAN FRANCISCO
Simulated Score
4
CHICAGO
6
SAN FRANCISCO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI White Sox Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Giants Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI White Sox (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Sim Giants (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o7.5 Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim o7.5 Win
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 24, 2026 CHW @ SF 5 - 8
May 23, 2026 CHW @ SF 3 - 10
May 22, 2026 CHW @ SF 9 - 4
Jun 29, 2025 SF @ CHW 2 - 5
Jun 28, 2025 SF @ CHW 0 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago CHW
vs
San Francisco SF
1
Games Played
▲ 162
6.00 ▲
Runs / Game
4.13
.324 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.415 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.306
.412 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.826 ▲
OPS
.706
1
Home Runs
▲ 178
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +33.5% more
Chicago: 3.9 vs San Francisco: 2.6
Runs per Game (Season) +31.2% more
Chicago: 6.0 vs San Francisco: 4.1
Strikeouts (L5) +20.0% more
Chicago: 8.8 vs San Francisco: 7.0
OPS (Season) +12.0%
Chicago: 82.6% vs San Francisco: 70.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHW Score 6.0 9
SF Score 3.0 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.9 / 0.3 2.0 / 1.0
Hits 8.8 / 8.2 7.0 / 5.0
Home Runs 1.4 / 1.3 0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 7.0 / 8.8 9.0 / 12.0
Total Bases 15.3 / 13.2 9.0 / 7.0
Walks 2.6 / 3.9 5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
83%MONEY17%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
77%MONEY23%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
26%MONEY74%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW Advantage
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
SF
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
SF
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SF
CHW
SF
CHW
ML
49% 79-81
49% 81-86
53% 85-75
56% 94-73
ATS
62% 100-60
59% 99-68
52% 83-77
56% 93-74
TTL
55% 82-68-10
58% 96-69-2
46% 68-81-11
51% 84-81-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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