CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
29-22 | Road
3
DETROIT
TIGERSDET
20-30 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Hunter Gaddis
#33 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Zach McKinstry
#39 | Right Field| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Gaddis | None-None | 5.25 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Zach McKinstry | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
5.25
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
2
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
GUARDIANS
0%
TIGERS
100%
GUARDIANS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CLE -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CLE By 1-2 runs
19.6%
CLE By 3-4 runs
18.4%
DET By 1-2 runs
13.6%
DET By 3-4 runs
7.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
6
CLEVELAND
Detroit
4
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Cleveland
3
CLEVELAND
Detroit
5
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Guardians
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Guardians (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Tigers (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o7.0
Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Sim
o7.0
Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 6, 2026
DET @ CLE
2 - 3
Sep 5, 2026
DET @ CLE
6 - 0
Sep 4, 2026
DET @ CLE
6 - 7
Aug 13, 2026
CLE @ DET
0 - 3
Aug 12, 2026
CLE @ DET
6 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Cleveland
CLE
vs
Detroit
DET
162
Games Played
162
4.19
Runs / Game
▲
4.46
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲
.241
.316
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.320
.380
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.400
.696
OPS
▲
.720
162
Home Runs
▲
181
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+54.0% more
Cleveland: 1.1
vs
Detroit: 0.5
Total Bases (L5)
+40.1% more
Cleveland: 13.2
vs
Detroit: 7.9
Errors (L5)
+39.0% more
Cleveland: 0.6
vs
Detroit: 0.2
Strikeouts (L5)
+23.0% more
Cleveland: 9.5
vs
Detroit: 7.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
6.0
3
DET Score
4.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.6
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.0 / 7.7
6.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
0.5 / 1.1
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
7.4 / 9.5
7.0 / 13.0
Total Bases
7.9 / 13.2
10.0 / 12.0
Walks
3.8 / 3.7
1.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CLE
DET
CLE
ML
54%
86-73
54%
87-74
54%
87-73
49%
80-82
ATS
64%
101-58
58%
93-68
57%
91-69
59%
95-67
TTL
46%
69-81-9
55%
88-71-2
46%
69-81-10
43%
69-90-2
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