CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
28-22 | Road
3
DETROIT
TIGERSDET
20-29 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Cade Smith
#36 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Tyler Holton
#87 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Smith | None-None | 2.66 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Tyler Holton | None-None | 4.70 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.66 Ldr
ERA
4.70
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
GUARDIANS
0%
TIGERS
100%
GUARDIANS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CLE -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CLE By 1-2 runs
19.6%
CLE By 3-4 runs
18.4%
DET By 1-2 runs
13.6%
DET By 3-4 runs
7.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
6
CLEVELAND
Detroit
4
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Cleveland
5
CLEVELAND
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Guardians
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Guardians
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Guardians (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Guardians (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Sim
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 6, 2026
DET @ CLE
2 - 3
Sep 5, 2026
DET @ CLE
6 - 0
Sep 4, 2026
DET @ CLE
6 - 7
Aug 13, 2026
CLE @ DET
0 - 3
Aug 12, 2026
CLE @ DET
6 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Cleveland
CLE
vs
Detroit
DET
162
Games Played
162
4.19
Runs / Game
▲
4.46
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲
.241
.316
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.320
.380
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.400
.696
OPS
▲
.720
162
Home Runs
▲
181
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+54.1% more
Cleveland: 1.7
vs
Detroit: 0.8
Strikeouts (L5)
+43.6% more
Cleveland: 9.8
vs
Detroit: 5.5
Total Bases (L5)
+34.5% more
Cleveland: 14.3
vs
Detroit: 9.4
Hits (L5)
+13.1% more
Cleveland: 7.5
vs
Detroit: 6.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
6.0
3
DET Score
4.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.3
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
6.5 / 7.5
5.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
0.8 / 1.7
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
5.5 / 9.8
11.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
9.4 / 14.3
5.0 / 11.0
Walks
3.7 / 4.1
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
87-79-0
(52.4%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
(50.6%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
81-84-1
O: 49.1% / U: 50.9%
Total +/-: +0.5
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CLE
DET
CLE
ML
54%
86-73
54%
87-75
54%
87-73
49%
80-83
ATS
64%
101-58
57%
93-69
57%
91-69
58%
95-68
TTL
46%
69-81-9
56%
89-71-2
46%
69-81-10
44%
70-90-2
Contextual Game News
Guardians Storm Back in Game 4, Force Game 5 Against White Sox
Guardians Outslug White Sox in Game 4 to Force Decisive ALDS Gam…
White Sox Collapse in Game 4 Sets Up Winner-Take-All Game 5
Jose Ramirez Ignites Guardians' Comeback, Forces Game 5 vs. Whit…
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox