CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
52-30 | Road
93
NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
53-29 | Home
109
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
KNICKS
100%
CAVALIERS
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
223.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+5.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY +5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
CLE By 1-7 points
27.2%
CLE By 8-14 points
23.0%
NY By 1-7 points
18.6%
NY By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
114
CLEVELAND
New York
109
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Cleveland
104
CLEVELAND
New York
108
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knicks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Knicks (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +5.0
D
Sim
Knicks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o215.5
Loss
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Sim
u215.5
Win
Proj Total: 212.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 25, 2026
NY @ CLE
130 - 93
May 23, 2026
NY @ CLE
121 - 108
May 21, 2026
CLE @ NY
93 - 109
May 19, 2026
CLE @ NY
104 - 115
Feb 24, 2026
NY @ CLE
94 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+38.7% more
Cleveland: 5.5
vs
New York: 3.4
Turnovers (L5)
+15.3% more
Cleveland: 17.6
vs
New York: 14.9
Rebounding (L5)
+9.9% more
New York: 45.6
vs
Cleveland: 41.5
Assists (L5)
+9.8% more
New York: 25.9
vs
Cleveland: 23.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
114.0
93
NY Score
109.0
109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.9 / 33.3
36.0 / 26.0
Assists
25.9 / 23.6
32.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.4 / 5.5
5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
51.6 / 44.2
52.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
71.9 / 72.1
57.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
45.6 / 41.5
40.0 / 42.0
Steals
8.6 / 9.3
5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
14.9 / 17.6
8.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
CLE
NY
CLE
ML
61%
114-72
60%
69-46
56%
57-45
56%
55-44
ATS
67%
124-62
67%
75-37-3
56%
57-45
56%
55-44
TTL
72%
133-53
59%
68-47
100%
102-0
100%
99-0
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