Home / NBA Projections NBA / Cavaliers @ Knicks CLE @ NY

CLEVELAND

CAVALIERSCLE

52-30  |  Road

93
FINAL
Thu, May 21 • 8:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

53-29  |  Home

109
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
📊
KNICKS
100%
CAVALIERS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
223.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+5.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
CavaliersCLE (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cavaliers Cover

30.9%

Knicks Cover

69.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY +5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

CLE By 1-7 points

27.2%

CLE By 8-14 points

23.0%

NY By 1-7 points

18.6%

NY By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
114
CLEVELAND
109
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
104
CLEVELAND
108
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cavaliers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Knicks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Knicks (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: +5.0
D
Sim Knicks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o215.5 Loss
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Sim u215.5 Win
Proj Total: 212.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 25, 2026 NY @ CLE 130 - 93
May 23, 2026 NY @ CLE 121 - 108
May 21, 2026 CLE @ NY 93 - 109
May 19, 2026 CLE @ NY 104 - 115
Feb 24, 2026 NY @ CLE 94 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +38.5% more
Cleveland: 5.5 vs New York: 3.4
Turnovers (L5) +32.6% more
Cleveland: 15.7 vs New York: 10.6
Turnovers (L5) +15.3% more
Cleveland: 17.6 vs New York: 14.9
Rebounding (L5) +9.9% more
New York: 45.6 vs Cleveland: 41.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 114.0 93
NY Score 109.0 109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.9 / 33.3 36.0 / 26.0
Assists 25.9 / 23.6 32.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.4 / 5.5 5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 51.6 / 44.2 52.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 71.9 / 72.1 57.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 45.6 / 41.5 40.0 / 42.0
Steals 8.6 / 9.3 5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 14.9 / 17.6 8.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
34%MONEY66%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
23%MONEY77%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 2.0 ATS +/-: -3.3
NY
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -4.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE Advantage
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: 2.0 ATS +/-: -3.3
NY
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -4.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.3
NY
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0% Total +/-: -6.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
CLE
NY
CLE
ML
40% 2-3
75% 3-1
60% 3-2
100% 4-0
ATS
20% 1-4
75% 3-1
80% 4-1
75% 3-1
TTL
80% 4-1
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Bulls Seek First Home Win Against Struggling Knicks
si 4 hours, 1 minute ago
Warriors' Kristaps Porzingis Situation Reaches Critical Juncture…
newsweek 9 hours, 59 minutes ago
AJ Dybantsa Set for Wizards Debut Wednesday vs. Cavaliers After …
bleacherreport 10 hours, 2 minutes ago
Knicks Associate Head Coach Chris Jent Takes Personal Leave Amid…
thesun 10 hours, 4 minutes ago
Spurs' Tight-Knit Roster Fuels Julian Champagnie's Career Night …
yahoo 10 hours, 4 minutes ago